|

BoJ's Kuroda: Japan's consumer inflation likely to slow back below 2% next fiscal year

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Thursday that Japan's economy is picking up and is likely to recover as the impact of supply constraints and the pandemic eases. 

Key quotes

Japan's economy is likely to recover as the impact of supply constraints, pandemic eases.
    
Uncertainty regarding Japan's economy is extremely high,
    
Must be vigilant to the impact of fx, market moves on the economy, and prices.
    
BoJ will maintain an easy monetary policy to sustainably, and stably achieve 2% inflation accompanied by wage growth.
    
Japan's consumer inflation is likely to slow back below 2% next fiscal year.

Japan's consumer inflation recently exceeded 2% but that is almost entirely driven by firms passing on rising import costs to consumers.
    
Must leave room for policy response to ensure japan never returns to deflation.
    
We may be seeing slight signs of change in firms' cautious sentiment that was behind prolonged deflation.

Merits of boj's current policy outweighing costs, but aware of need to be mindful about costs of prolonged easing.
    
Pace of raising japan's negative interest rate will be among key factors when boj debates exit strategy.
    
Another factor is how to adjust boj's huge balance sheet.
    
We are not in stage where we can immediately debate, lay out details of exit strategy.

USDJPY update

Meanwhile, USDJPY has been a wild ride over the course of this week:

The 4-hour chart offers a bullish bias on the backside of the trendline that has formed as a consequence of the month's downtrend that has come to an abrupt halt. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.