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Gold technical analysis: Falling channel breakout confirmed, but resistance at $1,518 still intact

  • Gold's daily chart shows a falling channel breakout. 
  • A break above $1,518 is needed for bullish reversal confirmation. 

Gold jumped 1.11% on Thursday, confirming an upside break of the falling channel, represented by trendlines connecting Sept. 4 and Sept. 25 highs and Sept. 10 and Oct. 1 lows. 

The channel breakout indicates the pullback from the September high of $1,557 has ended. The outlook, however, would turn bullish once the yellow metal invalidates the bearish lower highs setup with a move above the Oct. 25 high of $1,518.  

As of writing, Gold is trading largely unchanged on the day at $1,512 per Oz. 

The resistance at $1,518 could be scaled as Thursday's breakout is backed by a bullish or an above-zero reading on the MACD histogram and an above-50 reading on the 14-day relative strength index (RSI). A close above $1,518 would open the doors for $1,536 (Sept. 24 high). 

The outlook would turn bearish if the recent low of $1,474 is breached. The downside was consistently restricted in $1,474-$1,477 range in the second half of October. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1512.27
Today Daily Change-0.69
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1512.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA201494.99
Daily SMA501504.7
Daily SMA1001469.36
Daily SMA2001385.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1514.22
Previous Daily Low1493.8
Previous Weekly High1517.92
Previous Weekly Low1481.05
Previous Monthly High1519.04
Previous Monthly Low1455.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1506.42
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1501.6
Daily Pivot Point S11499.77
Daily Pivot Point S21486.57
Daily Pivot Point S31479.35
Daily Pivot Point R11520.19
Daily Pivot Point R21527.42
Daily Pivot Point R31540.61

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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