|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to kiss $1,660 in no time amid vulnerable DXY, PMIs grab focus

  • Gold price is advancing towards $1,660 amid an upbeat market mood.
  • A Fed policymaker adopted a less-hawkish approach to interest rate guidance.
  • The returns on 10-year US bonds have trimmed to 2.20% amid a decline in hawkish Fed bets.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is marching towards the immediate hurdle of $1,660.00 sharply as the positive market sentiment witnessed on Friday is expected to continue further. The precious metal picked significant bids around the two-year low at $1,614.85 and displayed a juggernaut rally, which may advance further.

The risk-on impulse shot vigorously after the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymaker supported a slowdown in the current pace of hiking interest rates to avoid sending the economy into an ‘unforced downturn’. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly cited that too sharp increment in interest rates has trimmed the consensus for growth prospects. Therefore, a slowdown in the rate hike pace would lift some pressure on the economy. A less-hawkish commentary from a Fed policymaker in a very long time lifted the market sentiment and the S&P500 soared by more than 2.60%.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) displayed a vertical fall and settled below the 112.00 cushion. The 10-year benchmark US Treasury yields declined to 4.22% as chances for a 75 basis point (bps) rate hike by the Fed have trimmed to 88%.

On Monday, investors will focus on the release of the S&P PMIs data. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline to 51.2 vs. the prior release of 52.0 while the Services PMI may drop to 49.2 from 49.3 reported earlier.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has witnessed a stellar buying interest after testing the demand zone placed in a $1,614.85-1,621.60 range. The precious metal has crossed the 50-and 200-Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,637.50 and $1,660.00 respectively in no time, which signals the strength of the gold bulls.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates more upside ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1657.35
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1657.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA201665.97
Daily SMA501696.19
Daily SMA1001739.67
Daily SMA2001814.23
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1658.24
Previous Daily Low1617.35
Previous Weekly High1668.53
Previous Weekly Low1617.35
Previous Monthly High1735.17
Previous Monthly Low1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1642.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1632.97
Daily Pivot Point S11630.39
Daily Pivot Point S21603.42
Daily Pivot Point S31589.5
Daily Pivot Point R11671.28
Daily Pivot Point R21685.2
Daily Pivot Point R31712.17

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 with bullish momentum losing steam

The British Pound ticks lower against the US Dollar Monday, attempting to close a seven-day rally, as tensions rise again in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the critical points in the peace process between Washington and Tehran. The GBP/USD pair trades near 1.3340 at the time of writing, down from 1.3387 highs last week, although it maintains a near-term bullish trend intact.

EUR/USD declines toward 1.1400 after US PMI data

EUR/USD stays on the back foot on Monday and declines toward 1.1400 in the second half of the day. The pair struggles to find its footing as the US Dollar preserves its strength after the latest PMI data showed that the business activity in the service sector continued to expand at a healthy pace in June.

Gold struggles to build on last week's gains, trades below $4,150

Gold finds it difficult to attract buyers and trades in the red below $4,150 after closing the previous week in positive territory. The US Dollar attracts some safe-haven flows amid tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and undermines the bullion. However, receding US Federal Reserve rate hike bets might hold back USD bulls from placing aggressive bets.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back amid persistent ETF outflows

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing widespread weakness on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) sliding under the $63,000 mark amid ongoing risk aversion.

The US Dollar just beat the Swiss Franc at its own safe-haven game

As the king among safe havens, the Swiss Franc is supposed to benefit from geopolitical shocks such as the Iran war. This time, it didn’t. The Swissie is nearly 6% below January’s peak against the USD after a sharp decline that came along with the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.