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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains capped below the $2,000 barrier, Chinese PMI data looms

  • Gold price remains capped below the $2,000 barrier in the Asian session on Monday.
  • The weaker US Dollar and a pullback in US Treasury bond yields might lift the gold price.
  • Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that the Fed would maintain the rate steady at the November meeting.
  • Market players await Chinese PMI data ahead of the Fed rate decision on Wednesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates below the $2,000 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Monday. The correction of the US Dollar (USD) and a pullback in US Treasury bond yields lend some support to the yellow metal. Gold price currently trades around $1,996, up 0.07% for the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), the value of the USD relative to a basket of global currencies, drops to 106.20 after retracing from the weekly high of 106.70. The US Treasury bond yield moves a little, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield hovering around 4.90%.

Last week, the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that the Fed would maintain the rate steady at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, but whether they will hold the rate for December will depend on the incoming data. Powell added that the additional rate hike is possible if high economic growth and a labor shortage continue. This, in turn, might cap the upside of gold. It's worth noting that rising interest rates raise the opportunity cost of investing in non-yielding assets, implying a negative outlook for precious metals.

Furthermore, investors will monitor the Chinese PMI data on Tuesday. China’s Manufacturing PMI is estimated to remain in expansionary territory by growing to 50.2, while Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise to 51.8. The stronger-than-expected data might boost the gold price as China is the world's largest gold producer and consumer.

Looking ahead, the US Housing Price Index and Consumer Confidence are due on Tuesday. The attention will shift to the Fed interest rate decision and the Press Conference on Wednesday will be closely watched. Traders will take cues from the events and find trading opportunities around the gold price. 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1995.66
Today Daily Change0.84
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1994.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA201917.55
Daily SMA501914.96
Daily SMA1001924.42
Daily SMA2001932.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2006.86
Previous Daily Low1991.01
Previous Weekly High2009.49
Previous Weekly Low1953.61
Previous Monthly High1953.01
Previous Monthly Low1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1997.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2000.81
Daily Pivot Point S11988.27
Daily Pivot Point S21981.71
Daily Pivot Point S31972.42
Daily Pivot Point R12004.12
Daily Pivot Point R22013.41
Daily Pivot Point R32019.97

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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