Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pulls back before targeting $1,826 and $1,830 – Confluence Detector

Gold price retreats from weekly highs as firmer Treasury yields lift the USD.
Hawkish Fed expectations limit gold’s upside despite inflation worries.
Gold bulls have the upper hand, $1,810 confluence holds the key.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Gold price is on the back foot on Tuesday after witnessing back-to-back rallies following the stunning US employment data. The renewed uptick in the US Treasury yields is boosting the demand for the greenback across the board, weighing on the non-yielding gold. Although looming US-Russian tensions over Ukraine and Sino-American tensions could help put a floor under the bright metal. Looking ahead, attention remains on the US inflation data due for release later this week for fresh insights on Fed’s tightening plans.

Read: Gold back to inflection point

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price retracement is challenging the critical support area near $1,818, where the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day converges with the SMA100 four-hour.

If that support is breached then sellers will aim for the previous week’s high at $1,815.

The pivot point one-day S1 at $1,811 will come to the rescue of bulls should the pullback extend in gold price.

The last resort for buyers is seen at $1,809, strong support comprising of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and SMA5 one-day.

On the flip side, immediate upside needs validation above the confluence of the pivot point one-week R1 and Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1,821.

The next critical resistance is placed at the weekly highs of $1,824, above which the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month at $1,826 could be tested.

A fresh upswing will kick in above the latter, opening doors towards $1,830 – pivot point one-day R1.

Here is how it looks on the tool

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.

Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.