Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD juggles around $1,720 as DXY turns subdued, US ADP job data buzz

  • Gold price is playing in a limited territory around $1,720.00 ahead of US ADP Employment data.
  • The risk sentiment is displaying a mixed response as yields have turned sideways.
  • The event of the US NFP will display the true status of the US labor market.

Gold price (XAU/USD) oscillating around $1,720.00 after dropping from $1,726.50 as investors are awaiting the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) employment data release for fresh cues. Fresh demand recorded in the US dollar index (DXY) from 110.20 is fading now as the fragile rebound move is met with significant offers of around 110.50.

Risk-profile is displaying mixed response as yields have turned sideways. The 10-year benchmark US Treasury yields are hovering below their day’s high of 3.64%.

FX domain needs fresh impetus for a decisive move and investors have shifted their focus toward the US ADP data. As per the projections, the US labor market has witnessed a fresh addition of 200k jobs in September vs. the former addition of 132k. The status of lower job additions could compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the pace of hiking interest rates as economic projects are needed to be cared for while combating the inflationary pressures.

Later this week, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will provide the true picture of employment status in the US. Considering the US NFP data, the US economy has created 250k jobs in September, lower than the August reading of 315k.

Gold technical analysis

Signs of exhaustion in the uptrend are clearly visible in the gold prices after failing to continue the bumper rally towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed from August 10 high at $1,807.93 to September low at $1,614.85) at $1,734.58. Consideration of a bearish reversal could be a little early as corrective moves are generally observed after a juggernaut rally.

The gold prices are comfortably established above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,696.00.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is showing a bullish bias as it is oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00. However, a correction towards 60.00 cannot be ruled out.

Gold four-hour chart


Today last price 1718.55
Today Daily Change -7.63
Today Daily Change % -0.44
Today daily open 1726.18
Daily SMA20 1679.83
Daily SMA50 1724.74
Daily SMA100 1763.48
Daily SMA200 1823.63
Previous Daily High 1729.58
Previous Daily Low 1695.18
Previous Weekly High 1675.49
Previous Weekly Low 1614.85
Previous Monthly High 1735.17
Previous Monthly Low 1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1716.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1708.32
Daily Pivot Point S1 1704.38
Daily Pivot Point S2 1682.58
Daily Pivot Point S3 1669.98
Daily Pivot Point R1 1738.78
Daily Pivot Point R2 1751.38
Daily Pivot Point R3 1773.18



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