|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls remain hopeful whilst above $1,710 – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price stages a comeback as the US dollar corrects amid a risk-on mood.
  • Investors reposition after Powell’s speech, ahead of next week’s US inflation.
  • XAU/USD looks to $1,725 and $1,734 so long as $1,710 support holds.   

Gold price is attempting a rebound from the $1,700 region once again, as the US dollar resumes its correction from two-decade highs amid the return of risk-on flows. The US Treasury yields take a breather but hold near multi-year high, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell cemented a 75 bps September Fed rate hike, with markets now pricing an 85% probability. Powell maintained that the Fed remains committed to bringing inflation down while warning against prematurely loosening policy during a Q&A presented by the Cato Institute on Thursday. The end-of-the-week flows and the market’s position readjustments ahead of next week’s US inflation data also offer a fresh boost to the yellow metal.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: Will XAU/USD confirm a falling channel breakout?

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is looking to continue with its recovery mode, eyeing the powerful resistance at $1,725, which is the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

Bulls will then challenge the previous day’s high of $11,728, above which a fresh upswing toward the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month at $1,734 will be on the cards.

On the flip side, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,719 offers immediate support, below which sellers will target strong support around the $1,715, which is the convergence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and SMA10 four-hour.

The next critical support is seen at the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, SMA5 one-day and the previous month’s low at $1,710.

A sustained move below the latter will open a fresh downside towards the previous day’s low of $1,704.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with three-day lows near 1.1570

EUR/USD resumes its march south on Thursday, revisting the 1.1570 region, or three-day lows, ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The intense sell-off in the pair comes in response to the solid performance of the US Dollar amid the still unresolved crisis in the Middle East. Moving forward, investors are expected to shift their focus to the release of the US NFP on Friday.
 

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

XRP rises as crypto market steadies despite Middle East war

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.