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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD builds cushion around $1,650 as yields set to bleed further

  • Gold price is forming a base of around $1,650.00 for a fresh rebound amid a joyful market mood.
  • Yields have dropped to near 4.10% and are making way for more downside amid S&P 500’s bullish bets.
  • Households have dropped their plans of buying new houses due to accelerating interest obligations.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is building a base around the critical support of $1,650.00 after correcting from Tuesday’s high at $1,662.45. The precious metal could resume its upside journey as the spirits of market participants are highly optimistic.

A third consecutive bullish settlement of the S&P500 has brought a sense of optimism to the market. On the contrary, alpha on US Treasuries has dropped sharply and may display more decline ahead as optimism will stay for longer. In the opinion of economists at Morgan Stanley, the rally in S&P500 could be extended well into the 4000/4150 area.

This indicates that the market mood will remain cheerful, which could have a devastating impact on yields. At the press time, the 10-year US Treasury yields are trading at 4.10% and could surrender the cushion of 4.0% ahead as clouds of uncertainty are fading away.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has been dragged to 110.75 as the appeal for a safe haven has trimmed significantly. The New Home Sales data will be a major trigger in today's session. The economic data is seen lower at 0.585M vs. the prior release of 0.685M on a monthly basis. Accelerating interest rates have resulted in higher installment obligations for households, forcing them to postpone their demand for a new house.

Gold technical analysis

On an hourly scale, gold prices have bounced back sharply after dropping below the horizontal support placed from Thursday’s high at $1,640.55. The precious metal is expected to display a sideways movement ahead as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $1,651.50 is acting as major support for the counter.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1652.76
Today Daily Change3.02
Today Daily Change %0.18
Today daily open1649.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA201667.34
Daily SMA501693.59
Daily SMA1001737.75
Daily SMA2001813.4
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1670.76
Previous Daily Low1643.99
Previous Weekly High1668.53
Previous Weekly Low1617.35
Previous Monthly High1735.17
Previous Monthly Low1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1654.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1660.53
Daily Pivot Point S11638.9
Daily Pivot Point S21628.06
Daily Pivot Point S31612.13
Daily Pivot Point R11665.67
Daily Pivot Point R21681.6
Daily Pivot Point R31692.44

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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