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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD snapped 9-week winning streak, closed below $1,950

  • Gold erased more than 4% last week and closed below $1,950.
  • Correction could extend to $1,850 area if bearish pressure remains intact. 
  • $2,000 psychological resistance will be a key level to watch.

After closing the previous nine weeks in the positive territory, the troy ounce of precious metal finally staged a deep correction and lost 4.45%, or nearly $90, last week. Profit-taking and improving market sentiment throughout the week made it difficult for gold to find demand. 

Gold technical outlook

Following the sharp drop witnessed during the first half of the week, XAU/USD rose modestly on Thursday but failed to close above the 20-day SMA on Friday. On the downside, $1,930 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of March-August uptrend) could be seen as the first support ahead of $1,860/50 area (50-day SMA, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, August 12 low). 

On the flip side, $2,000 (psychological level) aligns as a key resistance. With a daily close above that level, XAU/USD could again target record highs it set at $2,075 earlier in the month. However, unless there is a fundamental driver, such as a drastic shift in market sentiment, the pair could struggle to push higher as longer-term charts continue to show extreme overbought conditions.

Gold chart (daily)

Additional levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1944.6
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1944.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA201950.58
Daily SMA501839.68
Daily SMA1001768.58
Daily SMA2001654.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1962.3
Previous Daily Low1932.46
Previous Weekly High2049.96
Previous Weekly Low1863.24
Previous Monthly High1984.8
Previous Monthly Low1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1943.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1950.9
Daily Pivot Point S11930.61
Daily Pivot Point S21916.61
Daily Pivot Point S31900.77
Daily Pivot Point R11960.45
Daily Pivot Point R21976.29
Daily Pivot Point R31990.29

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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