Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD sees establishment above $1,770 as DXY surrenders gains


  • Gold price is displaying a balanced auction profile above $1,770.00 as investors await US CPI.
  • A solid growth rate and upbeat US NFP will delight the Fed.
  • Lower oil prices are responsible for lower consensus for the US Inflation rate.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has chartered its territory in a narrow range of $1,771.60-1,776.30 as the US dollar index (DXY) is expecting a bumpy ride after facing barricades around 106.80. The precious metal is in a consolidation territory followed by a sheer downside move after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).  

The US economy has added 528k jobs in the US labor market, significantly higher than the expectations of 250k and the prior release of 372k. This is going to support the Federal Reserve (Fed) in hiking interest rates unhesitatingly. The growth rate in the US economy is rock solid and now surprisingly higher US NFP despite a halt in the recruitment process by the US corporate will delight Fed policymakers to sound hawkish.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has surrendered its entire intraday gains and has slipped below the opening price. Now, investors are awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). The annual inflation figure is likely to remain lower at 8.7% against the prior release of 9.1%. Oil prices have remained in a negative trajectory in July, which might be the critical factor for a decent slippage in the price rise index.

Gold technical analysis

On a four-hour scale, the gold price is declining towards the lower portion of the Rising Channel, which is placed from July 21 low at $1,681.87. While the upper portion is plotted from July 22 high at $1,739.37.

The precious metal has defended the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,765.80. Also, the bright metal is holding above the 50-EMA at $1,760.00, which signals the strength of the gold prices.

While, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates that the gold bulls are not holding a bullish momentum for a while.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1772.88
Today Daily Change -2.90
Today Daily Change % -0.16
Today daily open 1775.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1736.81
Daily SMA50 1788.98
Daily SMA100 1844.84
Daily SMA200 1841.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1794.9
Previous Daily Low 1765.07
Previous Weekly High 1794.97
Previous Weekly Low 1754.35
Previous Monthly High 1814.37
Previous Monthly Low 1680.91
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1776.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1783.5
Daily Pivot Point S1 1762.27
Daily Pivot Point S2 1748.75
Daily Pivot Point S3 1732.44
Daily Pivot Point R1 1792.1
Daily Pivot Point R2 1808.41
Daily Pivot Point R3 1821.93

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700 after German IFO data

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700 after German IFO data

EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase at around 1.0700 in the European session on Wednesday. Upbeat IFO sentiment data from Germany helps the Euro hold its ground as market focus shifts to US Durable Goods Orders data.

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY refreshes 34-year high, attacks 155.00 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY refreshes 34-year high, attacks 155.00 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is renewing a multi-decade high, closing in on 155.00. Traders turn cautious on heightened risks of Japan's FX intervention. Broad US Dollar rebound aids the upside in the major. US Durable Goods data are next on tap. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price trades with mild negative bias, manages to hold above $2,300 ahead of US data

Gold price trades with mild negative bias, manages to hold above $2,300 ahead of US data

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower during the early European session on Wednesday, albeit manages to hold its neck above the $2,300 mark and over a two-week low touched the previous day.

Gold News

Worldcoin looks set for comeback despite Nvidia’s 22% crash Premium

Worldcoin looks set for comeback despite Nvidia’s 22% crash

Worldcoin price is in a better position than last week's and shows signs of a potential comeback. This development occurs amid the sharp decline in the valuation of the popular GPU manufacturer Nvidia.

Read more

Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out Premium

Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out

While it is hard to predict when geopolitical news erupts, the level of tension is lower – allowing for key data to have its say. This week's US figures are set to shape the Federal Reserve's decision next week – and the Bank of Japan may struggle to halt the Yen's deterioration. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures