Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD holds steady near one-week tops, lacks follow-through


  • Gold built on its recovery from two-month lows and gained traction for the third straight day.
  • Neutral technical indicators on the daily chart warrant caution for aggressive bullish traders.

Gold gained strong follow-through traction for the third consecutive session on Tuesday and climbed to one-week tops, around the $1848-49 region.

The emergence of some fresh selling around the US dollar was seen as a key factor that benefitted the dollar-denominated commodity. The greenback was further pressured by a pullback in the US Treasury bond yields, which drove some additional flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.

From a technical perspective, a sustained move back above 200-hour SMA was seen as a key trigger for bullish traders and driving the XAU/USD higher. That said, the positive momentum stalled just ahead of a resistance marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the $1960-$1785 recent downfall.

The mentioned barrier is pegged near the $1853-54 region, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for a further near-term appreciating move. The XAU/USD might then accelerate the positive move and challenge the $1875-76 supply zone, which coincides with the 50% Fibo. level.

The later should act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders and help determine the commodity's next leg of a directional move. A sustained move beyond should pave the way for additional gains and assist the XAU/USD to move back towards reclaiming the $1900 round-figure mark.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart – though have been recovering from the positive territory – are yet to confirm a bullish bias. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move amid optimism over a strong economic recovery.

On the flip side, immediate support is pegged near the $1833-32 horizontal zone and is closely followed by the 23.6% Fibo. level, around the $1828 region. Failure to defend the mentioned support levels will negate any near-term positive bias and turn the XAU/USD vulnerable.

XAU/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1841.97
Today Daily Change 12.10
Today Daily Change % 0.66
Today daily open 1829.87
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1842.17
Daily SMA50 1859.16
Daily SMA100 1870.99
Daily SMA200 1854.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1839.22
Previous Daily Low 1807.86
Previous Weekly High 1871.9
Previous Weekly Low 1785.02
Previous Monthly High 1959.42
Previous Monthly Low 1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1827.24
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1819.84
Daily Pivot Point S1 1812.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 1794.29
Daily Pivot Point S3 1780.72
Daily Pivot Point R1 1843.44
Daily Pivot Point R2 1857.01
Daily Pivot Point R3 1874.8

 

 

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