|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls to have a bumpy road towards $1,964 – Confluence Detector

Gold prices refresh intraday low near $1,938 while extending pullbacks from the six-week top, flashed the previous day, during early Friday.

The yellow metal recently eased after US election updates suggest President Donald Trump’s lead in Pennsylvanian voting count. Earlier in Asia, news from Georgia and Arizona marked Joe Biden as the front-runner for the US presidency while keeping his 260+ electoral votes, versus 270 required.

Although fears of a hung decision over the blue wave in America probe the US dollar bears, optimism surrounding further easy money, be it from the central banks or governments, enthuses the global risk sentiment.

As a result, equities and commodities cheered the US dollar’s downside during Thursday before portraying a consolidation so far today. That said, S&P 500 Futures print 0.60% intraday losses while stocks in Asia-Pacific trade mixed by press time.

Key levels to watch

Despite the recent pullback, gold prices stay past-$1,934 key support, comprising 38.2% Fibonacci retracement one-day, which in turn favors the bulls to jostle with the immediate resistances.

Among them, 5-SMA on 15-minute, upper band the Bollinger Band (BB) on one-day and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on daily comprise $1,941 as immediate key upside barrier.

Following that, the middle band of the BB on 15-minutes and 161.8% Fibonacci retracement on one-week, surrounding $1,945, can precede R3 on the weekly pivot point near $1,965 to entertain the gold buyers.

Alternatively, a downside break below $1,934 support will quickly drag the quote towards $1,921 support including SMA10 on the four-hour (4H) as well as R1 on the monthly pivot and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement on one-day.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY steadies below 160.50 as BoJ's Uchida speaks on outlook

USD/JPY holds its bounce below 160.50 in Europe trading on Tuesday, following the release of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision. The BoJ hiked the key rate by 25 bps to 1% as widely, providing little to no impetus to the Japanese Yen. BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida's press conference is doing little to lift the Japanese Yen.


AUD/USD holds near 0.7090 with bullish pressure mounting

The Australian Dollar trims previous gains against the US Dollar as markets ponder the peace agreement between the US and Iran, ahead of a central bank-busy week. The AUD/USD pair has pulled back from session highs at 0.7090 but remains positive on daily charts, with technical indicators showing moderate bullish momentum.

Gold holds gains above $4,300 amid cautious markets

Gold maintains a mildly positive tone, holding gains after rallying about 6.5% over the last few days. The precious metal's recovery, however, has lost steam after crossing the $4,300 line and remains practically flat as the initial enthusiasm about the US-Iran peace deal faded, with investors awaiting details of the agreement and monetary policy decisions by major central banks.

Solana's rebound gains momentum as ETF inflows return

Solana (SOL) steadies at $73 after posting three consecutive green candlesticks since the weekend. The recent recovery is supported by institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording net inflows of $2.81 million on Monday.

Kevin Warsh opens first Fed meeting June 16 with rate hold expected
Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate in a 54-45 vote and sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on 22 May 2026. The ceremony took place at the White House, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. The FOMC meeting on 16 and 17 June is his first as chair. The June meeting is also a quarterly projection meeting.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.