|

Gold Price Analysis: Lower high, overbought RSI check buyers inside short-term rising channel

  • Gold buyers catch a breath after rising heavily to the fresh 11-year top during the last two days.
  • MACD and RSI both favor a pullback while the latest lower highs on the hourly chart support the argument.
  • An upward sloping trend channel from Tuesday keeps pleasing the bulls.

Gold prices stay mildly positive around $1,621 during early Friday. The yellow metal has been flashing a lower high formation since its pullback from $1,623.80 while MACD is also likely turning negative. Further to support the odds of a pullback are RSI conditions that signal a halt to the additional upside.

As a result, the bullion may decline to Wednesday’s high of $1,613 while the support line of a short-term rising channel, at $1,611 can question extra downside.

If at all the quote dips below $1,611, $1,605 and $1,600 can entertain the bears ahead of recalling the early-week levels surrounding $1,584/83.

Meanwhile, an upside break of $1,623 can trigger fresh run-up towards the channel resistance of $1,627.

During the precious metal’s additional rise past-$1,627, the rising trendline connecting highs marked during September 20119 and January 2020, close to $1630/31, will be in the spotlight.

Read: Gold Price Analysis: Path of least resistance is up, $1,626 next target – Confluence Detector

Gold hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1620.39
Today Daily Change0.74
Today Daily Change %0.05%
Today daily open1619.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA201578.73
Daily SMA501547.59
Daily SMA1001513.8
Daily SMA2001472.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1623.79
Previous Daily Low1603.94
Previous Weekly High1584.36
Previous Weekly Low1561.99
Previous Monthly High1611.53
Previous Monthly Low1517.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1616.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1611.52
Daily Pivot Point S11607.8
Daily Pivot Point S21595.94
Daily Pivot Point S31587.95
Daily Pivot Point R11627.65
Daily Pivot Point R21635.64
Daily Pivot Point R31647.5

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).