|

Gold: Firm around two-week top beyond $1580 as risk-off continues

  • Gold remains modestly positive amid broad risk aversion.
  • China’s coronavirus, fears of hard Brexit keep the risk-off intact.
  • The US market’s off, a lack of major data could confine the moves.

Gold prices stay mildly positive, +0.08%, to $1,583.84 during the early Asian session on Monday. The yellow metal remains on the front foot amid the market’s fears emanating from China’s coronavirus. The latest Brexit-negative headlines also contribute to the risk aversion.

China tries it all to tame coronavirus implications…

Be it more than 300 billion Chinese yuan liquidity infusion or announcing corporate tax cuts and an increase in fiscal spending, the diplomats in China are trying from all corners to placate markets. However, they have been less successful so far.

The latest action comes from the General Administration of Customs (GAC) that speeded up inspection of imported manufacturing equipment and simplifying the quarantine approval procedures for foreign medical goods.

Even so, the increasing toll of the coronavirus fears the markets. The total number of infected people from the deadly disease crossed 68,500, with a death toll rising to 1,665, on February 15.

As a result, the US 10-year treasury yield and the German bunds remain on the back foot. However, global equities seem to portray the mixed signs amid upbeat signals from the US.

Brexit also contributed to the risk aversion…

In addition to the Chinese epidemic, fears of a no-deal Brexit also contribute their part to the markets’ risk aversion. With the Tories at the helm, the European Union (EU) leaders aren’t finding themselves in a comfortable position while heading into the Brexit trade deal talks up for early March.

The recent headlines from The Telegraph and The Guardian suggest that there will be a tough start to the talks considering the differences between the two ex-neighbors.

Although risk aversion will keep the yellow metal on the bulls’ radars, an absence of the US traders could give rise to a dull trading session. However, the preliminary reading of Japan’s fourth quarter (Q4) GDP, expected -0.9% versus +0.4% prior, can offer immediate direction to the bullion.

Technical Analysis

A downward sloping trend line since January 08, around $1,585 now, can restrict the precious metal’s near-term upside. However, an eight-day-old rising trend line, currently at $1,570, could challenge intra-day sellers.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1583.84
Today Daily Change1.22
Today Daily Change %0.08%
Today daily open1582.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA201569.95
Daily SMA501536.68
Daily SMA1001509.2
Daily SMA2001466.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1584.36
Previous Daily Low1573.14
Previous Weekly High1584.36
Previous Weekly Low1561.99
Previous Monthly High1611.53
Previous Monthly Low1517.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1580.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1577.43
Daily Pivot Point S11575.72
Daily Pivot Point S21568.82
Daily Pivot Point S31564.5
Daily Pivot Point R11586.94
Daily Pivot Point R21591.26
Daily Pivot Point R31598.16

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.