|

Gold: Close below $1,920 would look to be a warning of a deeper correction – CitiBank

Analysts at Citibank continue to be bullish over the medium and long term in gold. From a technical perspective, they warn that XAU/USD could correct lower with a close below the 55-day moving average. 

Key Quotes:

“We are bullish gold tactically in the short-term and structurally over the medium-term. We maintain our 0-3m point-price target at $2,200/oz and a 6-12m target at $2,400/oz. We lift the 2021E base case gold price forecast by ~$300/oz, versus our early July update, to a record $2,275/oz.”

“A close below the 55-day MA at $1,920 would look to be a warning of a deeper correction. However, given what happened in June and give the very strong support at $1,902-$1,903.”
 

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks firm; focus is on 0.7000

AUD/USD starts the week on a positive footing, approaching the 0.7000 hurdle helped by renewed sentiment following firmer-than-expected GDP data from China. Meanwhile, the continuation of the pair’s recovery also comes in contrast with the decent advance in the Greenback, which regains some traction followong last weeks pullback.

USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ, subdued USD

USD/JPY remains defensive near 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, as the US Dollar remains depressed near a two-week low amid the recent decline in US bond yields. Furthermore, looming intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen and weigh on the pair amid BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's hawkish remarks. However, Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties could limit USD losses and the major.

Gold drops to daily lows below $4,150

Gold builds on Friday’s retracement and slips back below the $4,150 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and a decent bounce in US Treasury yields across the curve keep the yellow metal under pressure for now.

XRP struggles at support as ETF outflows and bearish momentum cloud recovery outlook
Ripple (XRP) holds slightly above $1.30 on Monday, with short-term recovery prospects fading. Strong structural resistance toward $1.40 continues to cap upside, raising the risk of further downside below $1.30.
Higher than expected inflation shakes markets: What to prepare for?

US CPI report came in stronger than expected, lifting the probability of a December rate hike higher once again. Even though Fed Chair Warsh reinforced expectations of a hold for the October’s meeting, markets now face a two-step event: a likely pause on October 28, followed by an interest rate hike on December 9.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.