|

GBP/USD: Traders await US employment data amid Brexit jitter

  • GBP/USD trades a shade lower than 1.3100 ahead of European open on Friday.
  • The pair declined to the month’s low after pessimism surrounding Brexit and USD strength took their toll on Thursday.
  • While 1.3090 and 1.3030 can offer immediate support to the pair, 1.3185 acts as strong upside resistance.

GBP/USD seesaws near 1.3100 before London open on Friday. The pair recently dropped after lack of Brexit progress and disappointments from the ECB pushed markets toward the US Dollar. While on-going Brexit saga can continue affecting pair moves, the US jobs report for February month can also play its part to entertain traders.

Thursday couldn’t please Cable buyers as various news conveyed the EU-UK difference on Irish backstop delivering no Brexit deal and fewer chances of having one before next week’s British parliament voting on the UK PM Theresa May’s second referendum.

Sellers gained control after the European Central Bank (ECB) disappointed global market with its growth and inflation forecast cut joining hands with a change in forward guidance and new TLTRO.

Latest developments on the Brexit suggest the UK PM is likely pushing the EU leaders to accept her Irish backstop plan. However, the EU has already given time till Friday end to the British policymakers to come up with something new for Irish backstop to regain the region’s confidence.

In case of the February month US jobs report, the headline nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are likely to have softened to 180K from 304K while the average hourly earnings (YoY) might have increased to 3.3% versus 3.2% earlier. Also, the unemployment rate bears the consensus to test 3.9% against 4.0% prior.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

1.3090 is likely immediate support for the GBP/USD pair, a break of which can further drag it to 1.3030 and then to 200-day simple moving average (SMA) figure of 1.2990.

On the upside, the pair needs to overcome the 1.3185 support-turned-resistance to revisit 1.3260 and 1.3310 resistances.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair nears its weekly low at around 1.1660 in the American session on Tuesday, retreating from the 1.1750 price zone tested earlier in the day. Cautiously optimistic markets support the US Dollar in the near term.

GBP/USD retreats from three-month-high, pierces 1.3500

GBP/USD extends its intraday slide and trades in the red just below 1.3500 after setting a new three-month-high near 1.3570. Ahead of this week's key employment data releases from the US, markets recover the good mood.

Gold extends its advance aims to recover hte $4,500 mark

Gold eases from the weekly high it set at $4,475 but clings to modest gains above $4,450 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. While a rebound in the US Dollar caps the yellow metal's upside, heightened political tensions allow XAU/USD to keep its footing.

Australia CPI likely to test RBA hawkishness

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index data for November at 00:30 GMT on Wednesday. This is the second complete monthly CPI report, as the government continues to transition from the quarterly CPI to the monthly gauge as the primary measure of headline inflation.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.