|

GBP/USD snaps two-day run-up, slips below 1.2600, ahead of UK PMI

  • GBP/USD slips from 13-day high amid broad US dollar pullback.
  • UK PM Johnson confident of being past the peak, will give guidelines on easing lockdown restrictions next week.
  • British diplomats reject EU’s another request for an embassy in Belfast, still hope for a deal soon.
  • US dollar pulls back amid fresh US-China trade tussle.

GBP/USD takes a U-turn from 13-day top to 1.2565, down 0.25% on a day, while heading into the London open on Friday. In doing so, the Cable fails to defy the broad US dollar pullback amid renewed fears of the US-China trade war, as well as Brexit/coronavirus (COVID-19) worries. Though, cautious sentiment ahead of UK Manufacturing PMI checks the pair’s moves.

The US dollar registers a comeback following the market’s rush to risk-safety amid the growing concerns of another US-China trade-war season, backed by the recent comments from US President Donald Trump.

The UK PM Boris Johnson struck an upbeat tone during his first daily coronavirus briefings after returning to the office. The Tory leader said to be past the peak of the pandemic while sharing no key guidelines about the economy’s re-open.

It’s worth mentioning that data from John Hopkins University suggest the UK as having the second-highest death toll in Europe, beyond 26,700 with the latest addition of 674, whereas confirm cases grow past-172,000.

Elsewhere, Brexit talks between the EU and the UK diplomats didn’t go well on Reuters as Britain rejected another request from the bloc to open an official representation in Belfast for customs officials to monitor shipments between Great Britain and Northern Ireland, as per The Guardian. Even so, Tories are hopeful of cracking a deal with the EU.

Furthermore, the UK’s trade body Make UK, said that the British Factory Output is at the risk of halving due to the virus, per Reuters.

Moving on, updates concerning the US-China trade deal, as well as virus/Brexit news, can keep the Cable traders busy while the first revision of UK’s April month Manufacturing PMI, expected 32.8 versus 32.9 initial forecast, will occupy the British calendar. For the US data, Manufacturing PMIs from the ISM and Markit will be important to watch.

Technical analysis

The pair currently seems to decline towards 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March month fall, near 1.2515, ahead of revisiting 1.2500 round-figure. Meanwhile, a daily closing beyond a 200-day SMA level of 1.2655 becomes necessary for the bulls to keep the helm and aim for February month low surrounding 1.2725.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2565
Today Daily Change-28 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.22%
Today daily open1.2593
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2421
Daily SMA501.2452
Daily SMA1001.2752
Daily SMA2001.2654
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2644
Previous Daily Low1.2429
Previous Weekly High1.2503
Previous Weekly Low1.2247
Previous Monthly High1.2648
Previous Monthly Low1.2165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2562
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2511
Daily Pivot Point S11.2467
Daily Pivot Point S21.2341
Daily Pivot Point S31.2252
Daily Pivot Point R11.2682
Daily Pivot Point R21.277
Daily Pivot Point R31.2896

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.