|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Stays pressured below 1.3700 as MACD teases bears

  • GBP/USD holds lower ground after printing the heaviest daily fall in a month.
  • Clear break of 50-DMA, monthly ascending trend line favor sellers.
  • Key Fibonacci retracements, October’s high add to the upside filters.

GBP/USD remains depressed around a fortnight low, despite refraining to break Friday’s low surrounding 1.3670. In doing so, the cable pair keeps the previous day’s downside break of 50-DMA, as well as 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of July-September downside, during the initial Asian session on Monday.

In addition to the 50-DMA break, a clear south-run past an ascending trend line from late September and MACD conditions also keep the pair sellers hopeful.

Hence, the quote’s further weakness towards early October levels surrounding 1.3650 becomes imminent. However, August month’s low around the 1.3600 round figure and the mid-October’s swing bottom near 1.3570 may challenge the GBP/USD bears afterward.

Should the quote drop past 1.3570, 23.6% Fibo. near 1.3545 will be in the spotlight.

Meanwhile, 50% Fibonacci retracement level and 50-DMA, respectively around 1.3700 and 1.3715, question the GBP/USD pair’s corrective pullback.

Following that, the 61.8% Fibo. and the support-turned-resistance line, 1.3765 and 1.3825 in that order, will precede the last month’s peak of 1.3833 to stop the pair buyers.

To sum up, GBP/USD bears tighten the grips after Friday’s firmer signal towards the south.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3687
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00%
Today daily open1.3687
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3698
Daily SMA501.3715
Daily SMA1001.3781
Daily SMA2001.3852
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3801
Previous Daily Low1.3668
Previous Weekly High1.3829
Previous Weekly Low1.3668
Previous Monthly High1.3913
Previous Monthly Low1.3412
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3719
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.375
Daily Pivot Point S11.3637
Daily Pivot Point S21.3586
Daily Pivot Point S31.3504
Daily Pivot Point R11.3769
Daily Pivot Point R21.3851
Daily Pivot Point R31.3902

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD drops to one-week low, below 0.6950 on weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD attracts some sellers in reaction to disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat, further pressuring the currency pair.

Gold recovers to $4,150 as retreating US bond yields weigh on USD

Gold attracts strong buying during the Asian session on Thursday, snapping a three-day losing streak to a one-week low. Retreating US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched in reaction to Wednesday’s hot US CPI report, and boost the non-yielding bullion. That said, energy-driven inflation risks keep bets of a Fed rate hike firmly on the table, which should cap the precious metal.

Bitcoin falls on hot CPI: Why $80,000 support matters

Bitcoin's (BTC) most critical level to watch is near $80,000 as September's hot inflation reading pressures the crypto market, according to Glassnode. The top crypto declined within minutes of the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which showed a 3.7% annual increase in headline inflation, above forecasts of 3.6%. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, came in at 2.6%.

Stock futures just went red on the CPI. Here's what the bond market is pricing that equities haven't caught up to

Since late June, the bond market has been pricing in a Federal Reserve that keeps raising rates into 2027, and most US stocks have already been marked down for it. The S&P 500 hasn't, because a handful of AI-linked giants make up much of the index and their prices haven't followed the rest.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?