|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bears backing off on the lower time frames, for now

  • GBP/USD bulls stepping on as price melts to the downside.
  • Price action can be monitored from a lower time frame perspective for a bearish structure within bullish attempts. 

GBP/USD bears are in control, at least from a daily perspective. The following illustrates the downside targets in a 50% mean reversion of the prior bullish impulse and how price action on the lower time frames might play out on the way there. 

Prior analysis, daily chart

''The price is meeting a supply area and would be expected to retrace a sizeable portion of the bullish impulse. 

The prior highs could be targeted considering the confluence with the 50% mean revision of the rally.''

Live market, daily chart 

The market has melted and will be en route towards the 50% target on a break of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracements. 

However, should the 38.2% hold, there will be the prospect of a restest of the area of the prior lows that would be expected to act as a resistance. 

Drawing up the Fibs can show that the prior lows are more in the region of the current 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the current bearish impulse's range. 

Should the bulls step in at this juncture, depending on the shape of the subsequent price action, there could be prospects of an hourly set up as follows:

Hourly chart

Should the price drift higher without leaving multiple bottoms on an hourly basis, there could be prospects of sellers taking back control from resistance.

 Sellers would seek to break the hourly lows which would result in a bearish continuation towards the 50% mean reversion of the prior daily bullish impulse. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Solana extends correction despite ETF inflows, RWA adoption

Solana (SOL) price edges below $70 extending its losses for the fourth straight day this week. The institutional demand for Solana is building, with steady inflows so far this week and Morgan Stanley’s amended S-1 filing for a Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Fund.

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.