|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Acceptance above 100-DMA/1.3600 to set the stage for further gains

  • GBP/USD attracted some dip-buying on Thursday and reversed an early slide to sub-1.3500 levels.
  • The set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for an extension of the recent move up.
  • Acceptance above 100-day SMA and the 1.3600 mark will reaffirm the near-term positive outlook.

The GBP/USD pair showed some resilience below the key 1.3500 psychological mark and has now recovered a major part of its intraday losses. The pair was last seen trading just a few pips below the daily high, around the 1.3540-30 region heading into the North American session.

From a technical perspective, the emergence of dip-buying near support marked by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the 1.3834-1.3161 downfall favours bullish traders. That said, the GBP/USD pair's inability to find acceptance above the 100-day SMA and the overnight rejection near the 1.3600 mark warrants some caution.

Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in the bullish territory and are still far from being in the overbought zone. This further validates the near-term constructive set-up, though it will be prudent to wait for a sustained strength beyond the 1.3600 mark before positioning for any further gains.

The GBP/USD pair might then aim to accelerate the momentum towards challenging a downward-sloping trend-line resistance, currently around the 1.3680 region. The mentioned hurdle extends from the July 2021 swing high, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for an extension of the recent strong move up from the vicinity of mid-1.3100s.

On the flip side, the 50% Fibo. level, around the 1.3500-1.3490 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside. This is followed by support near the 1.3460-55 region. Any subsequent decline might still be seen as a buying opportunity near the 1.3430-25 area (38.2% Fibo.), which should help limit the downside near the 1.3400 mark.

Failure to defend the mentioned support levels would negate the positive outlook and shift the bias in favour of bearish traders. The GBP/USD pair might then turn vulnerable to accelerate the downfall towards testing the 23.6% Fibo. support, around the 1.3320-15 region.

GBP/USD daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3537
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.355
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3368
Daily SMA501.3406
Daily SMA1001.3558
Daily SMA2001.3743
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3599
Previous Daily Low1.3523
Previous Weekly High1.355
Previous Weekly Low1.3393
Previous Monthly High1.355
Previous Monthly Low1.3161
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.357
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3552
Daily Pivot Point S11.3515
Daily Pivot Point S21.3481
Daily Pivot Point S31.3439
Daily Pivot Point R11.3591
Daily Pivot Point R21.3633
Daily Pivot Point R31.3667

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).