|

GBP/USD: Likely to test 1.3265 before a recovery can be expected – UOB Group

There is scope for Pound Sterling (GBP) to test 1.3265 before a recovery can be expected. In the longer run, a break below 1.3265 would indicate that the advance in GBP from late last month has come to an end, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Below 1.3265, advance in GBP might come to an end

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we expected GBP to 'trade in a range between 1.3290 and 1.3350'. GBP subsequently rose briefly to 1.3355 and then dropped to a low of 1.3289, before closing on a soft note at 1.3297 (-0.19%). Downward momentum has increased, albeit not significantly. Today, there is scope for GBP to test 1.3265 before a recovery can be expected. Based on the current momentum, a clear break below this level is unlikely. On the upside, resistance levels are at 1.3330 and 1.3355."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "After holding a positive GBP stance since late last month, we highlighted yesterday (09 Dec, spot at 1.3325) that “upward momentum is starting to slow, and a break below 1.3265 (‘strong support’ level) would indicate that the advance in GBP has come to an end.” There is no change in our view."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?