|

GBP/USD hits fresh two-month highs and retreats

The GBP/USD pair was seen building on to its recent near-term recovery trend and touched the highest level since Oct. 4 on Tuesday. The pair, however, has retraced few pips from session peak and is currently trading around 1.2750 region. 

Following its initial bearish reaction on Monday, in wake of Italy's no vote to Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s constitutional reforms proposal in a referendum on Sunday, the pair managed to recover back above 1.2700 handle. Monday's recovery move got an additional boost from stronger-than-expected UK services PMI print, which added on to Friday's upbeat UK construction PMI. The pair, however, struggled to gain further traction and was contained below mid-1.2700s.

On Tuesday, the pair maintained its bid tone for the sixth consecutive session as the US Dollar seems to have stalled its post-US election rally. Market participants have turned cautious and think that the greenback might have run ahead of the fundamentals and hence, focus would remain on next week's FOMC meeting, which would provide fresh clues over possibilities, and timing of next Fed rate-hike action in 2017, and would eventually determine the next leg of directional move for the major. 

In the meantime, today's US economic docket, featuring non-farm productivity, trade balance data and factory orders, might provide some impetus for short-term traders.

Technical levels to watch

A follow through buying interest might continue to boost the pair further towards 100-day SMA resistance near 1.2795-1.2800 region, which if cleared should assist it further towards 1.2875-80 strong resistance. On the downside, 1.2700 handle now becomes immediate support to defend, which if broken is likely to drag the pair back towards 1.2610-1.2600 important support with some intermediate support near mid-1.2600s.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.2571
0.0%100.0%36.0%0-10010203040506070809010011000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 36% Bullish
  • 64% Bearish
  • 0% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.2532
100.0%90.0%32.0%03040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 32% Bullish
  • 58% Bearish
  • 11% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.2404
100.0%75.0%10.0%010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 10% Bullish
  • 65% Bearish
  • 25% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.