|

GBP/USD: Carney's speech awaited after UK GDP miss

  • Pound trades around 1.2860 during early Tuesday.
  • The pair dropped after fourth-quarter GDP missed estimates the previous day.
  • BoE Governor Mark Carney’s speech and Brexit developments can provide fresh directives to traders.

The GBP/USD pair trades better bid near 1.2860 while heading towards European session on Tuesday. The pair dropped yesterday after the fourth-quarter 2018 GDP growth lagged behind market consensus of 0.3% to 0.2%. Investors now await Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney’s comments for the fresh impulse. Also in the watch list will be, the developments on the Brexit front.

GBP/USD closed at the lowest levels since early January on the UK data miss yesterday but recovered some of the losses around initial Tuesday. BoE’s Carney is scheduled to deliver a speech relating to “the latest developments in the global economy and risks to the outlook” in London around 13:00 GMT today.

The Governor is up for a speech after the British GDP rose the smallest in 2018 since the year before he took over as the BoE Chief in 2013. The UK economy is already finding it hard to confront the Brexit problems and the central bank has recently cut down growth forecast to the lowest in a decade during its last week's monetary policy meeting.

On the Brexit update, the latest Sky News report cited that the UK PM Theresa May discussed changes to the key blocks in the Brexit negotiations with the former European Council President Herman van Rompuy. On a separate note, the Sun reported that the cabinet ministers are expecting Theresa May is preparing to resign as the PM in the UK summer. It should also be noted that EU & UK leaders are presently struggling to overcome Irish backstop, which if solved can re-open the Brexit negotiation for the British PM.

Given the present downturn in the UK data, the BoE Governor might not refrain from conveying economic weakness and Brexit uncertainty, as he did recently. Though, the positive signals could have a higher upside impact on the British Pound (GBP).

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Considering GBP/USD’s sustained observance to immediate descending trend-line, at 1.2920 now, sellers are likely in control of the price movement. Should the pair clear 1.2920 resistance, 1.2980 and 1.3000 may gain buyers’ attention.

Meanwhile, 1.2830 and 1.2800 seem adjacent supports for the pair during further declines. However, additional downside past-1.2800 can recall 1.2725 and 1.2700 rest-points.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Breakdown below trading range support near 1.1770 comes into play

The EUR/USD pair opens with a bearish gap at the start of a new week as the US-Iran war-led global flight to safety boosts the US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above mid-1.1700s during the Asian session.

GBP/USD declines below 1.3450 on Middle East tensions, UK political uncertainty

The GBP/USD pair attracts some sellers to around 1.3420 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Cable amid escalating tensions in the Middle East after recent US-Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend.

Gold jumps over 2% toward $5,400 after US, Israel attack Iran

Gold is on fire at the start of the week, a widely expected move, as investors seek harbor in the traditional store of value, following the continued US and Israel attacks on Iran. The bright metal opened with a bullish gap of about $17 and rallied toward the $5,400 level as Asian traders hit their desks and reacted negatively to the weekend news of the Middle East conflict, rushing for cover in Gold.

Iran escalation: Quick thoughts on markets

Markets are likely to open the week with risk-off, with declines led by airlines, cyclicals and trade-exposed names, while energy, defense and “strategic” sectors may be relatively steadier.

Crisis in the Middle East: The market reaction

A primer on how markets will open on Monday, and why geopolitical risk may not be easily absorbed by financial markets this time around. Geopolitics and events between Iran, the US and the wider Middle East will dominate financial markets on Monday. The situation has continued to escalate as we move through Sunday. 

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.