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GBP/USD bears moving in on 1.3360 sell stops

  • GBP/USD scores fresh cycle lows but bulls bite back. 
  • Cable has been under pressure due to Brexit and decelerating growth while US CPI underpins the US dollar. 

GBP/USD is printing fresh cycle lows in late North American trade, shaking out some stale longs and making way for further advances to the downside for the sessions ahead. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading down some 0.26% after falling from a high of 1.3433 to a low of 1.3359 on the day. However, the bulls have stepped in and cable has snapped back from the lows. 

Cable was printing the lowest level of 2021. A combination of domestic data and political turmoil, coupled with the divergence between the Federal reserve theme to that of the Bank of England weighs towards the end of the week. 

Bets of a BoE rate hike are dwindling

On the domestic front, the British economy is losing steam. Data released by the Office for National Statistics showed Britain's economy grew by 0.6% in September. However, estimates for previous months were revised lower, leaving the economy still smaller than it was in February 2020.

As for the central bank, during the November policy meeting, the Bank of England surprised markets by leaving its main interest rate unchanged at 0.1%. Leading into the event, however, numerous members of the MPC had been advocating for rate hikes, teeing up the market for disappointment. Nevertheless, markets are now pricing in a high probability of a December rate rise. However, the caveat was economic progress and a resole to the Brexit risks, either of which is going in the right direction. 

Investors are nervous about the negative ramifications that a post-Brexit dispute between Britain and the European Union over trade with Northern Ireland could have for the UK economy. However, in the latest update, Ireland's foreign minister said on Thursday that comments from Britain's Brexit minister suggest there is still some time to find a solution to trading difficulties before Britain seeks to trigger article 16.

US dollar soars to fresh cycle highs

Meanwhile, the greenback has printed the highest level since July 2020 at 95.1410. It is currently up by some by 0.29% in late North American trade and tracks higher following the strongest inflation reading in more than three decades.

On Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) posted its biggest monthly gain in four months to lift the annual increase in inflation to 6.2%, the strongest year-on-year rise since November 1990. CPI is now at new cycle highs and both the yearly and monthly prints show a second straight month of accelerating gains. Consequently, traders are anticipating US interest rate hikes next year which is underpinning the US dollar

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.337
Today Daily Change-0.0038
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open1.3408
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3678
Daily SMA501.3686
Daily SMA1001.3748
Daily SMA2001.3847
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3565
Previous Daily Low1.3405
Previous Weekly High1.3698
Previous Weekly Low1.3424
Previous Monthly High1.3834
Previous Monthly Low1.3434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3466
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3504
Daily Pivot Point S11.3354
Daily Pivot Point S21.33
Daily Pivot Point S31.3194
Daily Pivot Point R11.3514
Daily Pivot Point R21.3619
Daily Pivot Point R31.3673

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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