|

GBP/USD back in negative territory, challenges key support

  • US dollar remains firm as US yields continue to rise.
  • GBP/USD unable to recover, challenges the 1.3050 area.
  • Risk aversion also weighs on GBP/USD, Dow Jones falls by 0.72%.

The GBP/USD reversed after hitting 1.3106, and during the American session printed a fresh daily low at 1.3051. It is testing the critical support of 1.3050, moving with a bearish bias amid a stronger US dollar across the board.

Greenback up, Treasuries down

More comments from Fed official, plus the recent FOMC minutes, point to a more aggressive policy. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, called on Thursday for more rapid rate hikes to curb inflation. Data released on Thursday, showed US initial jobless claims dropped more than expected to 166K, the lowest since 1968.

The DXY bounced and is back in positive ground for the day supported by higher US yields. The 10-year stands at 2.63% and the 30-year at 2.68%. Both reached new multi-year highs on Thursday. At the same time, the Dow Jones drops by 0.62% and the S&P 500 falls 0.47%.

Short-term outlook

Risks remain tilted to the downside for GBP/USD after begin unable to hold above 1.3100. The crucial area around 1.3050 is being challenged since Wednesday. A recovery above 1.3100 could alleviate the pressure and above 1.3180 the pound should gain momentum.

“Sterling remains heavy just below $1.31 after having an outside down day earlier this week.  We still look for an eventual test of last month’s cycle low near $1.30.  After that is the November 2020 low near $1.2855 and then the September 2020 low near $1.2675.  Between the likely return of risk-off impulses and the even more hawkish Fed outlook for tightening, we believe the dollar uptrend remains intact”, wrote analysts at BBH.

Technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3069
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.3072
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3123
Daily SMA501.3323
Daily SMA1001.3372
Daily SMA2001.3549
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3106
Previous Daily Low1.3046
Previous Weekly High1.319
Previous Weekly Low1.3051
Previous Monthly High1.3438
Previous Monthly Low1.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3068
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3083
Daily Pivot Point S11.3043
Daily Pivot Point S21.3014
Daily Pivot Point S31.2983
Daily Pivot Point R11.3103
Daily Pivot Point R21.3134
Daily Pivot Point R31.3163

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.