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GBP/USD back in negative territory, challenges key support

  • US dollar remains firm as US yields continue to rise.
  • GBP/USD unable to recover, challenges the 1.3050 area.
  • Risk aversion also weighs on GBP/USD, Dow Jones falls by 0.72%.

The GBP/USD reversed after hitting 1.3106, and during the American session printed a fresh daily low at 1.3051. It is testing the critical support of 1.3050, moving with a bearish bias amid a stronger US dollar across the board.

Greenback up, Treasuries down

More comments from Fed official, plus the recent FOMC minutes, point to a more aggressive policy. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, called on Thursday for more rapid rate hikes to curb inflation. Data released on Thursday, showed US initial jobless claims dropped more than expected to 166K, the lowest since 1968.

The DXY bounced and is back in positive ground for the day supported by higher US yields. The 10-year stands at 2.63% and the 30-year at 2.68%. Both reached new multi-year highs on Thursday. At the same time, the Dow Jones drops by 0.62% and the S&P 500 falls 0.47%.

Short-term outlook

Risks remain tilted to the downside for GBP/USD after begin unable to hold above 1.3100. The crucial area around 1.3050 is being challenged since Wednesday. A recovery above 1.3100 could alleviate the pressure and above 1.3180 the pound should gain momentum.

“Sterling remains heavy just below $1.31 after having an outside down day earlier this week.  We still look for an eventual test of last month’s cycle low near $1.30.  After that is the November 2020 low near $1.2855 and then the September 2020 low near $1.2675.  Between the likely return of risk-off impulses and the even more hawkish Fed outlook for tightening, we believe the dollar uptrend remains intact”, wrote analysts at BBH.

Technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3069
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.3072
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3123
Daily SMA501.3323
Daily SMA1001.3372
Daily SMA2001.3549
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3106
Previous Daily Low1.3046
Previous Weekly High1.319
Previous Weekly Low1.3051
Previous Monthly High1.3438
Previous Monthly Low1.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3068
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3083
Daily Pivot Point S11.3043
Daily Pivot Point S21.3014
Daily Pivot Point S31.2983
Daily Pivot Point R11.3103
Daily Pivot Point R21.3134
Daily Pivot Point R31.3163

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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