|

Forex Today: US Dollar clings to recovery gains in quiet calendar day

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, December 6:

Following Monday's decisive rebound, the US Dollar Index clings to modest daily gains early Tuesday as investors adopt a cautious stance. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in positive territory at around 3.6% in the European morning and US stock index futures trade flat on the day. October Goods Trade Balance will be the only data featured in the US economic docket later in the day. Ivey November PMI from Canada and the GDT Auction from New Zealand will also be looked upon for fresh impetus. 

The data published by the ISM revealed on Monday that the business activity in the US service sector expanded at a strengthening pace in November with the Services PMI rising to 56.5 from 54.4 in October. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 53.1 and helped the US Dollar outperform its rivals in the second half of the day. Nevertheless, the CEM Group's FedWatch Tool shows that markets are still pricing in a nearly 80% probability of a 50 basis points (bps) Fed rate hike in December.

During the Asian trading hours, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced that it hiked its policy rate by 25 bps to 3.1% as expected. In its policy statement, the RBA noted that policymakers expect to continue to raise rates. Regarding the price developments, the RBA further noted that inflation is forecast to increase over the months ahead. Following Monday's sharp decline, AUD/USD managed to stage a rebound and was last seen trading in positive territory above 0.6700.

Breaking: RBA hikes OCR by 25 bps to 3.10% in December.

Pressured by the renewed US Dollar strength and the risk-averse market atmosphere, EUR/USD ended the day in negative territory below 1.0500 on Monday. The pair stays relatively quiet near Monday's closing level early Tuesday. The data from Germany revealed that Factory Orders rose by 0.8% in October, beating the market expectation for a decrease of 0.2%.

GBP/USD lost more than 50 pips on Monday and seems to have gone into a consolidation phase at around 1.2200 in the European morning on Tuesday. S&P Global Construction PMI will be featured in the UK economic docket but it's unlikely to have a significant impact on the Pound Sterling's performance against its rivals.

With the 10-year US T-bond yield gaining more than 2% on Monday, Gold price turned south and erased a large portion of last week's gains. At the time of press, XAU/USD was moving sideways at around $1,770.

USD/JPY gained more than 100 pips on Monday and continued to push higher in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair was last seen rising 0.5% on the day at 137.35. Earlier in the day, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda explained that they will consider exiting the ultra-loose policy once the 2% inflation target is consistently met.

Bitcoin struggled to gain traction on Monday and registered small daily losses. BTC/USD continues to move sideways near $17,000 early Tuesday. Ethereum fell more than 1% on Monday and was last seen consolidating its losses at around $1,250.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.