|

Forex Today: US CPI fails to hamstring the mightly US dollar

Here is what you need to know for 15 Sep in forex:

The US dollar was a solid performer on Tuesday and rose from a low 92.33 to a high of 92.68 against major currencies measured by the DXY index. However, data showed a less-than-expected rise in US inflation last month, creating uncertainty about the timing of the Federal Reserve's tapering of asset purchases. 

The S&P 500 was down 0.57% while the Dow Jones was down 0.84% by the close. In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 lifted 0.1% but the FTSE 100 fell 0.5%. The US 10-year was 6bps lower at 1.27%. The CRB index was up 0.15%.

Data on Tuesday showing the US consumer price index, excluding the volatile food and energy components, edged up just 0.1% last month has raised doubts about tapering this year, some analysts said.

August's core CPI rise was also the smallest gain since February and followed a 0.3% rise in July. The so-called core CPI increased 4.0% on a year-on-year basis after gaining 4.3% in July. The Jobless Claims was watched and reduced by 58,600 in August. The 3-month average unemployment rate eased to 4.6% in July (from 4.7%).

The greenback is holding in positive territory after several Fed officials have recently spoken and suggested that the US central bank should reduce its buying of debt securities by the end of the year. Markets are awaiting the Fed that will hold a two-day monetary policy meeting next week looking for clues as to when a tapering announcement will be made.

Meanwhile, the euro flat against the dollar at $1.1807 into the close and stayed within a 45 pip range. The Aussie dollar was last down 0.7% vs the greenback at 0.7319 to a two-week low. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was last up 3.1% at $46,400 and Ether changed hands at $3,344. Oil prices fluctuated but the WTI is virtually unchanged at $70.48/bbl. Gold rose 1.0% to $1,803.93/oz.

For the day ahead, we have the New Zealand Current account for the second quarter. Chinese Industrial Production and Retail Sales are also due. Australia - Westpac Consumer Confidence Index for September will also be watched as well as the Japnese Tankan Survey.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY stabilizes at around 154.00 as markets assess BoJ outlook

USD/JPY fluctuates at around 154.00 in the American session on Tuesday after rebounding from the six-month low it touched below 153.00 earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the upside attempts resemble technical corrections for now as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to support the Japanese Yen.

Gold holds around $4,400, but for how long?
Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the back foot during American trading hours on Tuesday, even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive. Rising Oil prices and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike weigh on the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,400 after reaching an intraday high near $4,443.
Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to macro signals amid changing derivatives narrative
Bitcoin’s (BTC) sensitivity to US economic data has become increasingly evident this year. As the market approaches several important data dumps this week, BTC traders are keenly aware of the significance just like their counterparts in TradFi. And just like the stock market, crypto traders are focused squarely on the US central bank's interest rate policy.
Europe in focus: September 2026
Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.