|

Forex Today: UK Retail Sales take centre stage alongside German business morale

The US Dollar managed to regain some balance and print decent gains on Thursday, always amid mixed results from the US docket, advancing US yields across the board, and recent progress on the trade front.

Here's what to watch on Friday, July 25:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) set aside four daily retracements in a row and advanced modestly to the 97.50 zone as investors continued to gauge the recent encouraging developments from the trade front. A light US calendar will only feature Durable Goods Orders.

EUR/USD treaded water around 1.1770 following the ECB’s steady hand and humble gains in the Greenback. Germany’s IFO Business Climate will take centre stage, seconded by the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) and M3 Money Supply figures.

GBP/USD saw its weekly rebound curtailed, revisiting the boundaries of the key 1.3500 zone after hitting new two-week highs around 1.3590 in early trade. The GfK Consumer Confidence is due, seconded by Car Production readings and Retail Sales.

USD/JPY traded on a positive foot, briefly dipping below the 146.00 support to rebound to the proximity of 147.00 amid a firm performance. The Tokyo Inflation Rate will be released, seconded by weekly Fpreign Bond Investment prints and the final Coincident and Leading Economic Indexes.

AUD/USD rose further north of the 0.6600 milestone, hitting new yearly highs, although that bull run fizzled out as the session drew to a close. Next on tap Down Under will be the release of the Inflation Rate on July 30.

WTI prices bounced to four-day highs past the $66.00 mark per barrel following the improved sentiment on the trade front as well as the unexpected drop in US crude oil inventories.

Gold remained on the defensive for the second day in a row amid further optimism surrounding trade developments and extra gains in US yields across the spectrum. Silver prices halted their upside momentum, easing from Wednesday’s tops near $39.50 per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom (UK) is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.