|

Forex today: The US dollar climbed against most of the G10, AUD worst performer

  • The US dollar climbed against most of the G10 as market attention shifts to BoC and Federal Reserve Powell. 
  • Markets are now pricing less easing for the FOMC July meeting, now at 27bp.

The US dollar climbed against most of the G10 and US yields rose on the sentiment that the Federal Reserve could hold off from cutting rates at the next meeting around later this month. Philadelphia Federal Reserve president Harker who will be a voter next year was reported to have told the WSJ that he doesn’t see a compelling reason to cut interest rates - Harker views the US economy as solid enough. US 2-year treasury yields climbed from 1.87% to 1.91% while the 10-year yields rose from 2.03% to 2.07% and markets are now pricing less easing for the July meeting, now at 27bp.

As for data, the Job openings in the US fell slightly to 7.32 million in May with just 72,000 new jobs added in the month. "This indicates some cooling in the labour market. There are still more jobs available than workers to fill them, but employers say they can’t get workers with the skills they need," analysts at ANZ Bank explained. 

Currency action

  • EUR/USD scored a four-week low of 1.1193 but was mostly sideways around 1.12 the figure with a high of 1.1218.
  • GBP/USD was one of the worst performers, sliding throughout overnight markets from 1.2510 to 1.2440 traded in London.
  • USD/JPY made a six-week high of 108.96.
  • AUD was the worst performer of the G10s, falling from 0.6960 to 0.6921 to mark down a three-week low.
  • NZD/USD dipped lower from 0.6630 to 0.6601.
  • AUD/NZD subsequently lost 40 pips.

Key notes from Wall Street

Day ahead

As for the day ahead, we have the Bank of Canada is expected to remain firmly on hold at 1.75%. However, the key focus will be with Fed chair Powell who begins his semi-annual testimony to Congress at 10 am NY time.

  • "After a prepared statement, he will take many questions from members of the House Committee on Financial Services. Yields bounced after the strong growth in non-farm payrolls in June but money markets are still fully priced for a 25bp cut in the federal funds rate at the end-July FOMC meeting.
  • If the Fed is not inclined to act so soon, then this is the time for Powell to shift market expectations.
  • Westpac recently changed its call from 2 Fed cuts in Sep and Dec to 2 cuts in Jul and Oct/Dec. After Powell finishes his testimony we will see the minutes from the FOMC’s 18-19 June meeting,"

analysts at Westpac explained.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Breaking: US and Israel attack Iran, risk aversion to sweep global markets

Early Saturday, United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the US had begun “major combat operations” in Iran, following Israel’s pre-emptive missile attacks against Tehran.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.