|

Forex today: The UK's PM announced her resignation, GBP unnerved

  • Forex on Friday was once again centred around politics.
  • UK PM May announced her resignation.

Risk appetite picked up in tot he long weekend for US and UK markets with equities rebounding and aiding a recovery in commodity-FX. The big news came with 

The UK's PM announcing her resignation due to take place on 7th June and then act as caretaker PM until a new leader is elected. Borris Johnson, who is in the running for taking My's place, a leading Brexiteer and former foreign secretary, said in respect to May's teary resignation speech, "A very dignified statement from. Thank you for your stoical service to our country and the Conservative Party. It is now time to follow her urgings: to come together and deliver Brexit."

"Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn was less sympathetic and proclaimed that the new Conservative Party leader “must call an immediate election” once in power. The UK is due to leave the EU on October 31 and whoever leads Britain post-May will have their work cut out for them," analysts at ANZ Bank explained.

Elsewhere, Markets US April Durable Goods Orders came from the U.S. calendar, missing estimates by a small amount (-2.1%m/m, est. -2.0%m/m) and non-defence, ex transport (0.0%m/m, est. -0.1%). "However, downward revisions to March gave a decidedly more negative profile to the volatile data series (headline +1.7%m/m from +2.6%m/m, non-defence/ex transport -0.6%m/m from flat). This raises downside risks for both Q1 GDP and Q2 GDP," analysts at Westpac explained.

As for yields, the US 10 Year Treasury Yield ranged sideways in a 2.31%-2.33% range, the 2 Year between 2.15% and 2.17%. 

Currency price action

The analysts at Westpac summarised Friday's price action as follows:

  • EUR/USD rose from 1.1180 to 1.1210, ticking up a little on Monday’s open. While populists and far right parties performed strongly in some EU elections e.g. France, in general the big winners were the Greens and pro-business Liberal parties. 
  • GBP/USD chopped up 60 pips, to 1.2730.
  • USD/JPY fell from 109.75 to 109.30 without obvious catalyst. 
  • AUD/USD rose from 0.6885 in the Sydney afternoon to 0.6930. 
  • NZD/USD rose from 0.6515 to 0.6555. 
  • AUD/NZD rose from 1.0555 to 1.0580.

Key notes from U.S. session: 

DJIA logs longest weekly losing streak since June 2011

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.