|

Forex Today: Optimism about Fed action hits dollar, Bitcoin tops $50K, PMIs eyed

Here is what you need to know on Monday, August 23:

The market mood has improved amid speculation that the Fed refrains from early tapering amid the rapid spread of the Delta covid variant. The safe-haven dollar is reversing some of its gains. Preliminary PMIs are high on the agenda, and Bitcoin is on the rise.

Risk-on: After a week dominated by concerns that the Federal Reserve would announce a tapering of its bond-buying scheme, investors are now foreseeing a delay. Robert Kaplan, President of the Dallas branch of the Fed, said he would consider postponing such a move in response to the impact of the Delta covid variant. Kaplan is a hawk and had previously pushed for withdrawing stimulus.

The focus is on the Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium and the speech by Chair Jerome Powell on Friday. Over the weekend, the bank announced that the event would be held virtually, a move seen as acknowledging the severity of the current wave of the disease.

Some speculate that Powell could use the Jackson Hole speech to signal a delay in withdrawing stimulus rather than bringing it forward. Markets are cheered by reports that the White House would extend Powell's term as Fed Chair by another four years. 

US coronavirus cases have hit a daily average of 149,000, ten times more than in early June. Hospitals in several southern states remain stressed. On the other hand, China said it has eliminated the spread of the Delta strain, allowing the lifting of lockdowns in the world's second-largest economy. 

The upbeat mood in markets has pushed the safe-haven dollar down with EUR/USD recapturing 1.17. Markit's preliminary Purchasing Managers' Indexes for August are due out during the morning and are set to remain on high ground.

See Dollar selling opportunity? Three reasons (and charts) explaining why the King may crash

UK PMIs are of interest to the pound, which is struggling with stubbornly high British covid cases. GBP/USD is trading around 1.3650.

The improved market mood is also supporting oil prices, with WTI topping $63. Gold is hovering around $1,785, within familiar ranges. 

Cryptocurrencies had a successful weekend, with Bitcoin surging above $50,000, the highest levels since May. Ethereum is trading above $3,300 and other digital assets such as Cardano and Dogecoin are on the move. 

Breaking: Bitcoin price hits $50,000 for the first time in 100 days

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.