|

Forex Today: Markets shrug off Fed warnings, ahead of all-important Nonfarm Payrolls

Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 7:

The market mood is upbeat despite Fed warnings about financial risks and ongoing US-China tensions. Nonfarm Payrolls are set to show an increase of around one million jobs. 

The Federal Reserve warned that covid still poses a major financial risk and that prices are vulnerable to significant declines. Stocks advance on Thursday as most Fed officials continued saying the US economy has a long way to go. Robert Kaplan, President of the Dallas Fed, stood out by urging a discussion about tapering bond-buying. 

The US dollar has been edging lower as 10-year Treasury yields remain in low ground under 1.60%. Supply chain strains and skills shortage issues are pushing prices higher but also cooling the economy. 

President Joe Biden is set to maintain bans on Chinese investment slapped by the previous administration, adding to tensions. In the meantime, Beijing reported better-than-expected increases in both imports and exports in April. 

Nonfarm Payrolls: The US is expected to report an increase of 978,000 jobs in April, topping March's 916,000 increase. Economists expect the Unemployment Rate to drop from 6% to 5.8% and earnings are projected to drop. Uncertainty about such robust hiring implies surprises are due, with some expecting 1.3 million positions gained. As of March, some 8.4 million Americans that lost their jobs in the pandemic are still out of work. 

US Nonfarm Payrolls April Preview: When the economy booms, its all about rates

Canada also publishes its labor figures on Friday, and the economic calendar is pointing to a loss of 175,000 jobs, accompanied by an increase in the jobless rate to 7.8%. Low estimates come despite the broad recovery. USD/CAD is trading below 1.22 ahead of the release. 

Canadian Jobs Preview: US demand likely to outweigh covid concerns, push hiring, CAD higher

UK local elections: Investors are still waiting for the results of elections in Scotland, where pro-independence parties could clinch a majority, reopening the topic. Elsewhere, voters seemed to back Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative Party. 

The Bank of England announced it is slowing down the pace of bond purchases but left the total unchanged. The pound traded choppily before stabilizing around 1.39. 

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin is trading below $55,000, Ethereum around $3,4000 and XRP below $1.60 as digital assets are off their highs. 

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers modestly, stays below 1.1900

EUR/USD gains traction and edges higher toward 1.1900 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar struggles to benefit from the upbeat employment data following an initial positive reaction, allowing the pair to find a foothold.

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains above 1.3600 following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed that the UK economy expanded at an annual pave of 1% in Q4. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood causes the USD to lose interest and helps the pair edge higher.

Gold retreats from February highs, holds above $5,000

Gold corrects lower after touching a fresh February-high above $5,100 but manages to hold comfortably above $5,000. The positive shift seen in risk mood limits the safe-haven precious metal's strength, while the trading action remains choppy ahead of Friday's key US inflation data.

LayerZero Price Forecast: ZRO steadies as markets digest Zero blockchain announcement

LayerZero (ZRO) trades above $2.00 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after a 17% rebound the previous day, which aligned with the public announcement of the Zero blockchain and Cathie Wood joining the advisory board. 

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.