|

Forex Today: JPY and antipodeans may entertain global traders on Easter Monday

  • Greenback regained its strength amid welcome data/positive earnings during the holiday-shortened week.
  • Japan, China and Singapore markets will remain active on Easter Monday.

Global forex markets remained in favor of the US Dollar (USD) during last-week while risk tone was also present in a light shade. The Euro (EUR), the British Pound (GBP), the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) were the biggest losers of the holiday-shortened week including Good Friday.

While upbeat data and positive earnings report portrayed a positive week for the greenback, sluggish economic prints were dragging the EUR and the NZD downwards. The GBP couldn’t enjoy better than forecast retail sales as lack of Brexit headlines dimming the Pound’s charm among investor fraternity. Further, the NZD had to bear the burden of disappointing inflation numbers highlighting the fear of May month rate-cut from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) while the CHF has no data/event that can help the currency to confront broadly strong USD.

The US 10-year treasury yield remained mostly unchanged on a weekly basis to 2.56% but news reports concerning the US-China trade deal, North Korea testing new weapons and positive comments from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials helped the JPY remain a bit stronger compared to the USD.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up for fourth consecutive weekly gain with its 26,560 print while Nasdaq flashed sixth back to back positive closing on a week as wrote 7998 on the cards. Furthermore, S&P500 was also in green with 2905 end-mark to the trading week.

Looking forward, Monday’s Asian session is likely to be dominated by news reports from Japan, China and Singapore as these are the major markets to remain open on Easter Monday that’ll dominate global trade sentiment. 

No data/event is scheduled for release except the US Chicago Fed National activity index and existing home sales for March. The activity gauge slipped into negative territory with -0.29 figure during its previous release while existing home sales may soften to 5.30 million from 5.51 million prior.
It should also be noted that the UK markets may witness increased momentum from Tuesday onwards as the British lawmakers will return to the UK parliament after a long recess.

Key Notes:

EUR/USD: No reaction to US data, looks to warp up week around mid-1.12s

USD/JPY: On track to close in the middle of its 50-pip weekly range below 112

Gold erases more than $15 this week, will the selloff extend?

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.