|

Gold erases more than $15 this week, will the selloff extend?

  • Gold looks to post its lowest weekly close of the year.
  • Broad USD strength weighs on the pair.
  • Precious metal struggles to capitalize on risk-off flows.

The troy ounce of the precious metal lost around $17 this week and now looks to record its lowest weekly close since the end of December near $1275.

The fact that the XAU/USD pair failed to hold above the critical $1300 mark, where the 100-day moving average is located, last week attracted technical sellers and caused the bearish momentum to gather strength. From a technical standpoint, sellers are likely to remain in control of the pair's price action unless it makes daily close above $1300 in the near-term.

Moreover, gold, as a traditional safe-haven, struggled to find demand in the first half of the week after the upbeat macroeconomic data releases from China, which eased concerns over a long-lasting slowdown in the world's second-biggest economy, boosted the risk appetite. Although next week's calendar won't be featuring any data from China, any positive headlines surrounding the U.S. - China trade conflict could have a significant impact on the market sentiment and force the pair to continue to push lower.

On the other hand, with major European currencies coming under heavy selling pressure in the second half of the week, the greenback gained traction and put additional weight on the pair's shoulders. The US Dollar Index recovered last week's losses and is now looking to close above 97.30. Chicago Fed's National Activity Index and existing home sales data from the U.S. on Monday will be looked upon for fresh impetus.

Technical levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1274.43
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1274.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA201294.71
Daily SMA501303.99
Daily SMA1001290.01
Daily SMA2001249.22
Levels
Previous Daily High1277.72
Previous Daily Low1271.35
Previous Weekly High1310.7
Previous Weekly Low1288.7
Previous Monthly High1327.8
Previous Monthly Low1280.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1275.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1273.79
Daily Pivot Point S11271.28
Daily Pivot Point S21268.13
Daily Pivot Point S31264.9
Daily Pivot Point R11277.65
Daily Pivot Point R21280.88
Daily Pivot Point R31284.03

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold rises above $4,950 as US-Iran tensions boost safe-haven demand

Gold price holds positive ground near $4,985 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovers amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims,  Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday. 

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.