|

Forex Today: Investors’ attention shifts to US data, Powell... and Super Tuesday

The greenback once again suffered disheartening prints from US fundamentals, although speculation for a rate cut by the Fed in June appears firm. On another note, Gold climbed to record highs as well as Bitcoin.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 6:

The greenback retreated for yet another session and kept the price action around the USD Index (DXY) depressed well below the 104.00 level. On March 6, all the attention will be on Chair Powell’s first testimony, followed by the ADP report.

EUR/USD maintained the bullish bias in place and rose to two-week highs near 1.0880. In the domestic calendar, the Balance of Trade in Germany and Retail Sales in the broader Euroland are due on March 6.

GBP/USD could not sustain an earlier move to multi-week highs near 1.2730, closing the session with marginal gains instead. On March 6, the S&P Global Construction PMI will be the sole release across the Channel.

USD/JPY left behind two consecutive daily advances and broke below the key 150.00 zone. Next on tap in the Japanese docket will be the usual weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures and the speech by BoJ Nakagawa on March 7.

AUD/USD traded on the defensive and added to Monday’s pessimism, briefly revisiting the 0.6480 region. The GDP Growth Rate during the October–December period takes centre stage in Oz on March 6. 

On March 6, the Bank of Canada is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged, seconded by the Ivey PMI and the press conference by Governor T. Macklem. USD/CAD, in the meantime, rose further and trespassed the 1.3600 hurdle, although it gave away some of those gains afterwards.

WTI prices remained on the back foot as news of extra reforms in China and the country’s planned GDP target failed to ignite some optimism among traders.

Gold prices advanced further and printed an all-time high past the $2,140 mark per troy ounce on the back of increasing bets of rate cuts by the Fed. Silver rose to fresh tops north of the $24.00 mark per ounce, although the industrial metal later succumbed to renewed selling impetus.

Outside the FX universe and moving into the political arena, the US Super Tuesday results are expected to be one of the salient events on Wednesday. On Super Tuesday, the highest number of states will host presidential primaries or caucuses, as more than one-third of all delegates available for both the Republican and Democratic nominations will be up for grabs. President J. Biden stands as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination, facing no significant primary challenge. Meanwhile, former President D. Trump maintains a lead over former Un Ambassador Nikki Haley in the race for the Republican nomination.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens to two-week lows near 1.3520

GBP/USD trades on the back foot, returning to the low 1.3500s, or two-week troughs, on Tuesday. Cable’s bearish price action follows decent gains in the Greenback at the time when investors assess latest US data releases and the persistent uncertainty in the US-Iran crisis.

EUR/USD: 200-day SMA caps Euro as Dollar firms

The shared currency edges lower, capped by the 200-day Simple Moving Average at 1.1633, amid rising geopolitical tensions and escalating hostilities between the US and Iran, prompting investors to buy the US Dollar. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD trades at 1.1590, down 0.25%.

Gold drops to four-week low, below $4,300 as USD firms amid Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold drops to a nearly four-week low during the Asian session on Wednesday and is now looking to extend the fall further below $4,300 amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. The escalating Middle East conflict lifts crude oil prices to a fresh high since July 24, stoking inflation fears and reaffirming US Federal Reserve rate hike bets.

WTI advances to mid-$90.00s, fresh high since July 24 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – scales higher for the third straight day – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and climbs to a fresh high since July 24 during the Asian session on Wednesday.

Middle East war takes its toll on Gold prices

The US Dollar accelerates its advance against the precious metal in the American session on Tuesday, following news indicating United States forces launched attacks on Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in Iran, as reported by the US Central Command. Explosions were reported on Qeshm Island, around the Strait of Hormuz, and across southern Iran.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.