|

Forex Today: Gold jumps despite Dollar strength, focus turns to Australian jobs and Powell

The key event during the Asian session is the Australian employment report. Japan will release trade data, and China will update house prices. Later in the day, market participants will closely monitor the US Jobless Claims and the Philly Fed index. Federal Reserve Chair Powell is due to speak. 

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, October 19:

The positive market sentiment that followed bright economic data from China was offset by rising tensions in the Middle East, higher yields and crude oil prices. The Dow Jones lost 0.98%, and the Nasdaq declined by 1.62%. Meanwhile, the price of WTI crude oil rose by 1.70%.

The risk-off sentiment and stronger US yields pushed the US Dollar higher. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose 0.35%, surpassing the 106.50 level. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.92%, reaching its highest level since 2007. Federal Reserve Chair Powell is scheduled to speak at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday, and his comments will be closely watched.

On Wednesday, US housing market data showed mixed figures. Building Permits dropped in September to 1.475 million, better than the expected 1.45 million, while Housing Starts rebounded to 1.35 million, slightly below the market consensus of 1.38 million. The Beige Book noted that economic activity had "little to no change" during September and early October.

Upcoming US data on Thursday includes Existing Home Sales, the Philly Fed index, and the weekly Jobless Claims report. Further signs of a robust economy and a tight labor market could keep the US Dollar in demand.

Gold initially jumped and reached $1,963, its highest level in two months, despite the moves in the bond market. The yellow metal later pulled back and settled around $1,950.

EUR/USD failed once again to rise above 1.0600 and turned to the downside, finding support around 1.0530. Risks remain tilted to the downside, but consolidation could persist if the pair remains above 1.0520.

The Pound initially rose following a higher-than-expected UK inflation reading but later gave up all its gains. GBP/USD is trading dangerously close to the key support area around 1.2120.

USD/JPY posted its highest daily close since October of last year, slightly below the 150.00 area. A rally above that area could lead to intervention from Japanese authorities, triggering volatility.

AUD/USD was rejected from above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and reversed course near 0.6400, falling towards 0.6330. The key support level stands at 0.6285 (October lows). Australia will release the September employment report early on Thursday.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) lagged once again. The technical outlook for NZD/USD points to further losses, as it posted the lowest daily close in almost a year, below 0.5860.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) did not benefit from the rally in crude oil prices. USD/CAD rose above 1.3700 and closed above it, leaving room for further upside potential.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).