|

Forex Today: Fed delivers hawkish hold, US Dollar remains under pressure

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, January 29:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded above 96.60 on Wednesday after White House Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US has a strong-dollar policy, implying the right fundamentals are in place. Bessent also denied that the US was intervening in currency markets to support the Japanese Yen.

The DXY fell to four-year lows near 95.50 late on Tuesday, after United States (US) President Donald Trump said he was comfortable with a weak US Dollar when asked whether it had declined too much. Trump further stated that he will announce his pick for the new Fed Chair soon and that interest rates will be lower under new leadership at the US central bank.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.79%0.32%0.74%-0.13%-0.14%0.02%0.98%
EUR-0.79%-0.47%-0.05%-0.91%-0.92%-0.76%0.20%
GBP-0.32%0.47%0.42%-0.44%-0.45%-0.29%0.67%
JPY-0.74%0.05%-0.42%-0.87%-0.88%-0.71%0.23%
CAD0.13%0.91%0.44%0.87%-0.01%0.16%1.12%
AUD0.14%0.92%0.45%0.88%0.00%0.15%1.12%
NZD-0.02%0.76%0.29%0.71%-0.16%-0.15%0.96%
CHF-0.98%-0.20%-0.67%-0.23%-1.12%-1.12%-0.96%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced its interest rate decision to leave the rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, as expected.

Key takeaways from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement:

Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated.

The unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization, but job gains have remained low.

The vote in favor of the policy was 10-2, with governors Miran and Waller dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point cut.

Finally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell held a press conference to provide more cues on future monetary policy, but offered little on that and more about politics, questions that Powell refused to answer.

Regarding the economy, Powell noted that inflation remains somewhat elevated relative to the goal and that the shutdown likely weighed on Q4 growth, which he believes will be reversed. Additionally, he stated that the labour market may be stabilising as hiring, openings, and wage growth showed little change. By the end of the day, the DXY recovered and held around 96.50.

AUD/USD is trading near the 0.7000 price region, crossing levels it hasn’t touched since February 2023. The Australian Dollar was bolstered by stronger-than-expected Australian inflation data, which boosted expectations of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate hike. Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 3.8% YoY in December from a 3.4% increase reported in November. This figure came in hotter than the 3.6% expected. Meanwhile, the monthly CPI climbed 1% in December, compared to the previous reading of 0%, above the market consensus of 0.7%.

USD/JPY is trading near the 153.80 price region, trimming a big part of its weekly losses as the USD recovers some ground. Meanwhile, Japan’s fiscal health stays in focus as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi pushes aggressive spending and tax-cut plans.

EUR/USD is trading near the 1.1930 price region, trimming half of its weekly gains, holding on to modest gains after the Fed’s interest rate decision.

GBP/USD is trading near 1.3770 after the Fed’s interest rate decision and Trump-related turmoil

USD/CAD is trading near the 1.3600 price region after the Bank of Canada (BoC) also announced its interest rate decision, holding rates at 2.25%, as expected.

Gold is trading near an all-time high above $5,330 amid geopolitical uncertainty and a weak USD.

What’s next in the docket:

Thursday:

  • US Initial Jobless Claims.
  • Tokyo January CPI.
  • Japanese December employment data.

Friday:

  • Flash Germany Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
  • Flash Eurozone GDP.
  • Flash German CPI.
  • US Producer Price Index (PPI).

Author

Agustin Wazne

Agustin Wazne joined FXStreet as a Junior News Editor, focusing on Commodities and covering Majors.

More from Agustin Wazne
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.