|

Forex Today: Dollar hit by a not-that-aggressive Fed

 What you need to take care of on Thursday, May 26:

The greenback aimed to recover ground but pared its advance during US trading hours, ahead of the FOMC Meeting Minutes. The document showed that all members supported plans to reduce the balance sheet, while some added that, after the runoff was well underway, it would be appropriate to consider sales of mortgage-backed securities.

Also, all participants at the central bank’s May policy meeting agreed that a half-percentage-point interest rate hike was appropriate, while most judged such a hike would be appropriate at the next couple of meetings. Chances of a 0.50% rate increase in September have decreased sharply with the news, which in turn gave a late boost to Wall Street. Indexes posted substantial gains ahead of the close, after spending the day around their opening levels.

US government bond yields remained stable, ending the day little changed on Thursday.

Mounting tensions between the US and China after US President Joe Biden said that his country would militarily defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion weighed on the market’s mood, alongside slowing economic growth and lingering inflation.

The European Central Bank published the Financial Stability Review, which took its toll on the shared currency, as policymakers noted that "an abrupt increase in real interest rates could induce house price corrections” while adding that "further corrections in financial markets could be triggered by escalation of war, even weaker global growth or if the monetary policy needs to adjust faster than expected."

Data kept disappointing, as Durable Goods Orders were up a modest 0.4% in April, below the 0.6% expected.

The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.0680, while GBP/USD reached fresh daily highs at the end of the day, now trading around 1.2570.  Commodity-linked currencies advanced during the American session against the greenback, with USD/CAD down to 1.2810 and AUD/USD pressuring the 0.7100 figure.

Gold recovered from $1,841.84 a troy ounce, a fresh weekly low, to settle around $1,855. Crude oil prices remained stable, as WTI trades at $110.60 a barrel.

Ethereum whale scoops up 86.7 billion Shiba Inu while large wallet investors shed SHIB


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).