|

Forex Today: Dollar defeated ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls, Chinese data cheers markets

Here is what you need to know on Friday, November 1:

  • Tension is mounting toward the US Non-Farm Payrolls, with the US Dollar consolidating its post-Fed losses. A gain of around 89,00 jobs in October. The low figure is partly due to the strike at General Motors, which may have shed more than 50,000 jobs. Bloomberg's "whisper number" stands at 100K. The Unemployment Rate is set to rise to 3.6% and wage growth to increase by 0.3% monthly and 3% yearly. 
    See US Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: The trend remains the same
  • Trade: High-level US and Chinese negotiators will hold a telephone call later today and try to push talks forward. While they have made progress on Phase One, reports suggest that China doubts that a broad agreement is possible with President Donald Trump. Officials in both Beijing and Washington are optimistic in public but skeptical in private. 
  • China: The Caixin Purchasing Managers' Index for the manufacturing sector has risen to 51.7 points, better than expected and helping improve the market mood. 
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI is published after the NFP, but is still of interest. Economists expect an increase from the lows of 47.8 points recorded in September. See US October Manufacturing PMI Preview: Waiting for the China deal
  • Fed speak: Richard Clarida, Vice-Chair of the Federal Reserve, is one of three officials that will make public appearances today, and may provide more clarity on the central bank's policies. 
  • UK politics: A batch of post-election announcement polls continued showing a significant lead of around 12% for Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservatives. Prospects of a clear majority have underpinned the pound.
  • Cryptocurrencies are stable with Bitcoin holding above $9,000.
     

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).