|

Forex Today: Dollar defeated ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls, Chinese data cheers markets

Here is what you need to know on Friday, November 1:

  • Tension is mounting toward the US Non-Farm Payrolls, with the US Dollar consolidating its post-Fed losses. A gain of around 89,00 jobs in October. The low figure is partly due to the strike at General Motors, which may have shed more than 50,000 jobs. Bloomberg's "whisper number" stands at 100K. The Unemployment Rate is set to rise to 3.6% and wage growth to increase by 0.3% monthly and 3% yearly. 
    See US Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: The trend remains the same
  • Trade: High-level US and Chinese negotiators will hold a telephone call later today and try to push talks forward. While they have made progress on Phase One, reports suggest that China doubts that a broad agreement is possible with President Donald Trump. Officials in both Beijing and Washington are optimistic in public but skeptical in private. 
  • China: The Caixin Purchasing Managers' Index for the manufacturing sector has risen to 51.7 points, better than expected and helping improve the market mood. 
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI is published after the NFP, but is still of interest. Economists expect an increase from the lows of 47.8 points recorded in September. See US October Manufacturing PMI Preview: Waiting for the China deal
  • Fed speak: Richard Clarida, Vice-Chair of the Federal Reserve, is one of three officials that will make public appearances today, and may provide more clarity on the central bank's policies. 
  • UK politics: A batch of post-election announcement polls continued showing a significant lead of around 12% for Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservatives. Prospects of a clear majority have underpinned the pound.
  • Cryptocurrencies are stable with Bitcoin holding above $9,000.
     

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.