|

Forex Today: Dollar consolidates after heavy losses, remains vulnerable

A quiet Asian session is ahead regarding economic data that could help the US Dollar stabilize after posting heavy losses on Thursday on the back of inflation and employment US data. On Friday, the key report will be the US March Retail Sales. 

Here is what you need to know on Friday, April 14:

The US Dollar tumbled again, breaking technical and psychological support levels. At the same time, US stocks soared. The Dow Jones ended with a gain of 380 points or 1.15%, while the Nasdaq jumped by 1.99%. The VIX posted the lowest close since February. Big US banks will announce Q1 earnings on Friday. 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index report showed that annual inflation eased to 5% in March, the lowest in two years, but the core rate remained elevated. On Thursday, data showed that wholesale inflation fell more than expected. The annualized Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation dropped from 4.9% to 2.7%, below the 3% expected, the smallest since January 2021. The latest round of data showed that inflation continues to slow down. 

US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 239K, above the 232K expected, the highest level since January 2022. The report added signs of a softer labor market. More data is due on Friday with Retail Sales, Industrial Production and Consumer Confidence figures. Upbeat economic reports could help the US Dollar, but the trend is still down. Unless, good news triggers risk appetite and weighs further on the Greenback. 

US Retail Sales Preview: Dollar set to jump above low barrier of expectations, three scenarios  

EUR/USD posted the first daily close above 1.1000 in a year, helped by a firmer Euro and the sharp slide of the US Dollar. EUR/GBP gained for the third consecutive day, rising to the highest level in weeks above 0.8800. 

USD/JPY fell for the second day in a row, although it trimmed losses during the American session, rebounding above 132.50. The improvement in market sentiment weighed on the Japanese yen. 

GBP/USD rose for the third consecutive day and posted the highest daily close since June, above 1.2500. Data from the UK showed GDP was unchanged in February, against expectations of a 0.1% expansion. Bank of England’s (BoE) Silvana Tenreyro will participate in a panel on Friday at the International Monetary Fund Spring Meetings about how to fight inflation. At the last BoE meeting she voted to keep rates unchanged. 

AUD/USD jumped toward 0.6800 and NZD/USD hit levels above 0.6300 amid a weaker US Dollar. The Kiwi outperformed. Early on Friday, the March Business NZ PMI is due. USD/CAD tumbled to 1.3340, a 2-month low. 

USD/CHF confirmed the breakout of long-term support levels and extended the decline to 0.8854, the weakest level since January 2021. Switzerland will release wholesale inflation on Friday. 

Gold continued its run toward record highs, rising above $2,040, while Silver approached $26.00. Bitcoin also benefited from the better mood across financial markets and retook $30,000.                                
 


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).