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Forex Today: AUD, CAD rally on policy shift, a mix of CB speeches on tap

Forex today was dominated by notable demand for the commodity-currencies, amid improving commodities’ price and a shift in gear towards more hawkish narrative by most major central bankers, with the latest hawkish remarks from BOC Governor Poloz having sent the CAD to fresh 4-month tops versus the greenback. Meanwhile, the Aussie gained briefly above 0.76 handle also on the back of rate hike chatter.

The US dollar extended weakness into Asia and clocked fresh seven-month lows at 95.92, as a delay in the vote on the Healthcare bill by Senate until July 4 recess. Meanwhile, the Asian markets traded largely subdued, as oil prices stall its recovery ahead of $ 44 mark.

All eyes now remain on a mix of central bankers’ (CB) speeches lined up at 1330GMT, with BOC Governor, Poloz, Fed Chair Yellen, BOE Governor Carney and BOJ Chief Kuroda gather at the ECN Sintra conference. On the data front, we have the Eurozone money supply data, followed by the US goods trade balance and pending home sales release. Also, EIA crude stockpiles report will remain in focus for fresh moves in oil and Loonie.

Main topics in Asia

Japan PM Abe favors looser Debt-to-GDP ratio target

Reuters is carrying the headlines, which says Japanese PM Shinzo Abe is looking to ditch a pledge to balance the budget by fiscal 2020. 

BOC’s Poloz: Rate cuts have done their job - CNBC

Comments from the Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Poloz hit the wires earlier on the day, as he spoke on the monetary policy and economic outlook during an interview with CNBC.

CME to launch Australian Wheat FOB (Platts) futures contract from July 24

CME Group announced to launch Australian Wheat FOB (Platts) futures contract from July 24, Livesquawk reported earlier today.

Ex-RBA’s Edwards: RBA could raise rates eight times in two years – BBG

Bloomberg out with headlines from the former RBA board member John Edwards, commenting on the future course of the central bank’s monetary policy.

Key Focus ahead

Eurozone credit and M3 data in focus – Danske Bank

Data on euro area credit and M3 growth are due out today and will be the main economic release according to the analysts at Danske Bank.

GBP/USD regains poise, eyes 1.2860 ahead of Carney

The positive bias seen around the spot is mainly driven by ongoing broad based US dollar weakness, as the USD bulls remained weighed down by the delay in the Healthcare bill vote. 

EUR/USD unstoppable, looks to 1.1400 ahead of Draghi

Following a small drop on Monday, the pair has not only managed to revert the negative start but it has also climbed to levels last seen in June 2016 above 1.1360 ahead of the opening bell in Euroland.

GBP/USD Forecast: USD slump might continue to extend support

The greenback continues to weaken against its major counterpart, with the key US Dollar Index sinking to seven-month lows near the 96.00 handle during Asian session on Wednesday. 

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Tuesday, Jun 27
20:30
0.85M
 
-2.72M
21:30
 
 
Wednesday, Jun 28
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
06:00
-1.0%
-0.6%
-0.1%
06:00
4.1%
4.6%
6.1%
06:00
1.1%
0.0%
-0.2%
06:00
3.1%
1.8%
2.1%
06:00
1.39
 
1.34 Revised from 1.48
06:45
108
103
103 Revised from 102
07:00
 
1.9%
1.8%
07:00
 
 
4.6%
07:30
 
 
08:00
 
 
58
08:00
 
2.4%
2.4%
08:00
 
 
5%
08:00
 
5.0%
4.9%
08:00
 
 
30.8
09:00
 
0.0%
-0.1%
09:00
 
1.4%
1.6%
09:00
 
0.0%
-0.2%
09:00
 
1.3%
1.4%
10:00
 
 
-0.6%
10:00
 
1.4%
1.6%
11:00
 
 
0.6%
12:30
 
0.2%
-0.5%
12:30
 
$-66.2B
$-68.0B
13:30
 
 
13:30
 
 
13:30
 
 
13:30
 
 
14:00
 
 
-3.3%
14:00
 
0.8%
-1.3%
14:30
 
-2.585M
-2.451M
17:00
 
 
2.06%
18:20
 
 
21:00
 
 
82
23:50
 
 
¥1,090.1B
23:50
 
-1.0%
1.4%
23:50
 
2.6%
3.2%
23:50
 
-0.4%
1.1%
Thursday, Jun 29
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
01:00
 
 
38.3%
01:00
 
 
14.9
01:00
 
 
0.8%
06:00
 
10.4
10.4
07:00
 
 
100.5
07:00
 
 
-5
07:00
 
 
1.9%
07:00
 
1.5%
2.0%
07:00
 
 
0%
07:00
 
 
-0.1%
07:30
 
 
4.5%
07:30
 
 
1.3%
08:30
 
£4.0B
£4.3B
08:30
 
£1.450B
£1.525B
08:30
 
64.000K
64.645K
08:30
 
 
8.2%
08:30
 
1.3%
1.2%
08:30
 
 
2
08:30
 
 
0.1
09:00
 
 
1.86%
09:00
 
 
-0.09%
09:00
 
-1.3
-1.3
09:30
 
 
4.6%
09:30
 
 
0.3%
10:00
 
 
1.7%
10:00
 
 
0.2%
10:00
 
13.3
13.0
10:00
 
2.8
2.8
10:00
 
109.5
109.2
10:00
 
0.96
0.90
12:00
 
1.3%
1.4%
12:00
 
0.0%
-0.2%
12:00
 
1.4%
1.5%
12:00
 
0.0%
-0.2%
12:00
 
 
-0.93%
12:00
 
 
0.05%
12:30
 
240K
241K
12:30
 
1.940M
1.944M
12:30
 
2.2%
2.2%
12:30
 
1.2%
1.2%
12:30
 
2.4%
2.4%
12:30
 
2.1%
2.1%
n/a
 
 
$406.4B
14:30
 
 
61B
19:00
 
 
-2.3%
21:30
 
 
0.1%
22:45
 
 
-7.6%
23:00
 
 
1.7%
23:00
 
 
-2.2%
23:00
 
 
0.1%
23:01
 
-7
-5
23:01
 
 
100.5
23:30
 
 
0%
23:30
 
0.2%
0.1%
23:30
 
 
0.2%
23:30
 
 
0%
23:30
 
0.4%
0.3%
23:30
 
 
0.4%
23:30
 
2.8%
2.8%
23:30
 
1.48
1.48
23:30
 
-0.6%
-1.4%
23:50
 
-3.2%
4.0%
23:50
 
 
5.7%
Friday, Jun 30
24h
 
 
01:00
 
 
54.5
01:00
 
51.0
51.2
01:30
 
0.4%
0.4%
01:30
 
 
4.9%
04:00
 
 
16.3%
05:00
 
 
-0.2%
05:00
 
-1.5%
1.9%
05:00
 
 
1.004M
06:00
 
2.6%
-0.9%
06:00
 
0.3%
-0.2%
06:00
 
 
5.33%
06:00
 
 
5.9%
06:00
 
 
0.2%
06:00
 
 
5.1%
06:45
 
 
-0.4%
06:45
 
0.7%
0.5%
06:45
 
0.8%
0.9%
07:00
 
 
-4.95B
07:00
 
 
2.3%
07:00
 
 
0.6%
07:00
 
 
2.8%
07:00
 
 
0.2%
07:00
 
 
4.4%
07:00
 
 
€878M
07:00
 
 
2.9%
07:00
 
102.4
101.6
07:55
 
-10K
-9K
07:55
 
5.7%
5.7%
08:00
 
 
2.3%
08:00
 
 
€1.32B
08:00
 
 
95.66K
08:00
 
 
2.6%
08:30
 
2%
2%
08:30
 
0.2%
0.2%
08:30
 
0.6%
0.6%
08:30
 
 
0.8%
08:30
 
0.3%
0.2%
08:30
 
£-17.000B
£-12.088B
09:00
 
 
-1%
09:00
 
 
7.9%
09:00
 
1.2%
1.4%
09:00
 
1%
1%
n/a
 
 
2.15%
n/a
 
 
0.88%
n/a
 
 
2.5%
11:30
 
 
$381.96B
12:00
 
 
18.1%
12:00
 
 
13.6%
12:00
 
 
1.9%
12:00
 
 
0%
12:00
 
 
5.1B
12:00
 
 
5,350.68B
12:30
 
0.1%
0.4%
12:30
 
 
1.5%
12:30
 
 
0.2%
12:30
 
0.3%
0.4%
12:30
 
0.1%
0.2%
12:30
 
 
1.7%
12:30
 
-0.6%
1.6%
12:30
 
0.4%
0.6%
12:30
 
0.2%
0.5%
13:00
 
 
6.7%
13:00
 
0.6%
-7.5%
13:45
 
58.0
59.4
14:00
 
94.5
94.5
14:30
 
 
-15.42B
14:30
 
 
12.91B
15:00
 
 
8.9%
17:00
 
 
758
19:30
 
 
328.8K
19:30
 
 
$150.7K
19:30
 
 
$8.6K
19:30
 
 
£-37.6K
19:30
 
 
¥-50K
19:30
 
 
€44.9K
19:30
 
 
$15K
Saturday, Jul 01
24h
 
 
24h
 
 

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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