|

FOMC poised for dovish cut as labor market weakens – BBH

Markets expect the FOMC to deliver a dovish cut because the US labor market is worsening. That can drag US Dollar (USD) lower and support risk assets, BBH FX analysts report.

Miran, Cook to attend Fed meeting amid political drama

"Stephen Miran was confirmed as Fed Governor by the Senate just in time for the 16-17 FOMC meeting. Miran is the most likely FOMC member to vote for a 50bps cut tomorrow. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Lisa Cook is also expected to attend the upcoming FOMC meeting. An appeals court allowed Cook to continue working during the ongoing legal proceedings. President Donald Trump could still ask the Supreme Court to step in."

"US August retail sales (1:30:pm London, 8:30am New York) and industrial production (2:15pm London, 9:15am New York) take the spotlight today. Consensus sees retail sales at 0.2% m/m vs. 0.5% in July. The retail sales control group used for GDP calculations, is projected at 0.4% m/m vs. 0.5% in July. Retail sales activity has held up well the past three month, growing roughly at trend pace. However, the sharp slowdown in labor demand points to looming pressure on household incomes and future consumption."

"Industrial production is seen at -0.1% vs. -0.1 in July, though signs of stabilization are emerging. Rising ISM manufacturing New Orders-to-Inventories ratio suggest firms may need to ramp-up production as demand is outpacing supply."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 1.1780 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 sits near overbought, signaling strong demand. RSI remains elevated, which could cap gains if overbought conditions emerge.

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold bulls seem unstoppable amid supportive fundamental backdrop

Gold is seen building on the previous day's strong rally of over 2% and continues scaling new all-time highs for the second consecutive day on Tuesday. The commodity climbs closer to the $4,500 psychological mark during the Asian session and remains well supported by a combination of factors. 

Uniswap holds above $6 as traders eye UNIfication vote outcome

Uniswap price holds above $6 at the time of writing on Tuesday after closing above a key resistance zone in the previous week. Traders are focusing on the highly anticipated UNIfication proposal, which is set to conclude on Thursday, and could become a key near-term catalyst. On the technical side, momentum indicators are flashing bullish signals, hinting at an upside rally.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.