|

Fed's Logan: Too early to think about cutting rates

On Friday, Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan remarked that there are "uncertainties" regarding whether monetary policy is adequately restrictive to lower inflation to the Fed's target, emphasizing that it is "premature" to consider interest rate cuts at this stage.

Key Takeaways

We've made substantial progress on inflation, with labor market and economy strong.

Not a soft landing yet.

Q1 inflation data disappointing.

There are important upside risks to inflation.

There are uncertainties if policy is sufficiently restrictive.

Too early to think about cutting rates.

We need to remain flexible on policy.

The neutral interest rate level may have risen.

Events of March 2023 have really impacted how we need to think about liquidity risk.

Critically important that banks have a broad set of funding arrangements; one of them has to be the Fed's discount window.

We want to see every bank sign up for discount window.

We want to see every bank testing the discount window on a regular basis.

Safe, healthy banks use the discount window all the time; that's a good thing.

Once banks are signed up, discount window is an easy system to use.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to small gains near 1.3450 after UK jobs data

GBP/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.3450 in the European session on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but failed to provide any impetus to the British Pound's renewed uptick. Traders stay cautious amid US-Iran uncertainty and the UK political transition.

EUR/USD keeps range above 1.1400 after German ZEW

EUR/USD is keeping its range above 1.1400 in Tuesday's European session, as the US Dollar (USD) retreats following Monday's rebound. Nevertheless, the uncertainty around the US-Iran conflict limits the pair's upside. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) pays little heed to the strong German sentiment data, as traders await Thursday's European Central Bank policy announcements, which could drive the Euro's near-term valuation.

Gold extends recovery toward $4,100

Gold gains traction following Monday's choppy action and advances toward $4,100 on Tuesday. However, the uncertainty surrounding the conflict in the Middle East and growing expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve policy outlook could make it difficult for the precious metal to gather bullish momentum in the near term.

Bitcoin extends advance as ETF inflows, Iran war mediators' proposal lift risk mood

Bitcoin extends its gains, trading above $65,800 after closing above the key technical hurdle the previous day. The bullish price action is further supported by the return of institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds continuing their inflows on Monday. In addition, the renewed hopes for peace between the US and Iran have lifted risk sentiment, providing an additional tailwind for the Crypto King.

Buy the dip on the Dow Jones and S&P? Forex Trading Gold descending triangle

Trading during a war, a pandemic, during trade disputes, and other geopolitical events, especially when some major players are sociopathic, can be quite challenging. The Iran war is no exception. The Iran war is no exception.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.