|

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.1480 as sentiment sours

  • The pair now sees some selling pressure below 1.1500.
  • The greenback looks to pick up pace near 95.50.
  • US Core CPI rose 0.2% MoM in December, matching consensus.

EUR/USD is now facing some downside pressure, tumbling to the area of daily lows in the 1.1480/75 band.

EUR/USD offered after US data

The positive momentum in the risk-associated complex is now taking a breather and is dragging spot around a cent lower since earlier tops in the boundaries of the 1.1580 region. This area coincides with the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the September-November drop.

On the USD-side, the greenback returns to the positive territory after US inflation figures tracked by the CPI during the last month of 2018 came in in line with previous forecasts. In fact, headline CPI dropped at a monthly 0.1% and rose 1.9% from a year earlier. Additionally, CPI stripping food and energy costs rose 0.2% MoM and 2.2% over the last twelve months.

What to look for around EUR/USD

Near term price action in spot continues to be almost exclusively driven by USD-dynamics and the positive risk appetite trends amidst easing effervescence in the US-China trade dispute. Closer to home, the Italian political scenario, upcoming discussions over the French budget and the palpable slowdown in German fundamentals in Q3-Q4 2018 should keep investors vigilant and could undermine extra gains in EUR in the medium term.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.15% at 1.1482 and a breakdown of 1.1477 (100-day SMA) would target 1.1409 (21-day SMA) en route to 1.1306 (2019 low Jan.3). On the upside, the next hurdle at 1.1569 (2019 high Jan.10) seconded by 1.1585 (61.8% Fibo of the September-November drop) and finally 1.1621 (high Oct.16 2018).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1800 as trade jitters undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair builds on the previous day's modest gains and attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Thursday amid a softer US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and trade around the 1.1815-1.1820 area during the Asian session, up 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold retains positive bias amid sustained safe-haven demand, softer USD

Gold attracts some buyers for the second straight day as trade jitters and geopolitical tensions ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks underpin demand for safe-haven assets. Apart from this, a softer US Dollar further supports the bullion, though the underlying bullish sentiment could cap gains. Bulls might also opt to wait for acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.