|

EUR/USD treading water around 1.1560/70

  • The pair stays parked around 1.1560/70 on Wednesday.
  • The greenback keeps the firm note above the 95.00 mark.
  • Investors’ attention is focused on the ECB Forum in Sintra.

The better tone around the greenback keeps EUR/USD on the back foot in the middle of the week around the 1.1560/70 band.

EUR/USD looks to Sintra, risk trends

Spot remains on the defensive for another session amidst the persistent sentiment around the greenback and a mild bias towards the risk off mood in light of the US-China trade spat.

Absent relevant releases in Euroland and the US, market participants will look to any headlines from the ECB Forum in Sintra (Portugal), where President Draghis will share a discussion panel later today with Chief J.Powell and BoJ’s H.KJuroda.

In the meantime, the pair looks vulnerable to the yields spread between the US and German money markets, which continue to support the buck, particularly after the recent stance from the ECB and earlier comments from ECB officials, noting that a rate hike in Euroland would not come before September 2019.

In this regard it is worth recalling that President Draghi stressed on Tuesday that the ECB remain prudent and patient when comes to decide the timing of the start of the hiking cycle.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.16% at 1.1570 and a breakdown of 1.1543 (low Jun.15) would target 1.1508 (2018 low May 29) en route to 1.1479 (low Jul.20 2017). On the flip side, the next hurdle aligns at 1.1644 (high Jun.19) seconded by 1.1681 (21-day sma) and finally 1.1685 (10-day sma).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).