EUR/USD remains weak despite positive Eurozone manufacturing data
- EUR/USD consolidates losses around 1.1850 after dropping by over 1% on Friday.
- Eurozone and German HCOB manufacturing PMIs have been upwardly revised.
- The US Dollar remains supported by the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair.
The Euro (EUR) is trading practically flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, moving near 1.1850 at the time of writing, unfazed by the upward revisions of Eurozone and German Manufacturing activity. The Dollar holds its ground, supported by the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair, while a risk-averse market sentiment is weighing on the Euro.
Investors showed some relief after US President Donald Trump confirmed on Friday that Kevin Warsh will replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chairman when his term expires in May. Warsh is partidary of a smaller balance sheet and has advocated for lower borrowing costs in recent times, although he is expected to take a cautious approach to inflation.
In Europe, the final HCOB Manufacturing PMI readings revealed that the sector's activity improved beyond expectations in January. The Eurozone PMI has been revised up to 49.5, from previous estimations of 49.4, and also above December's 48.8 reading. In a similar line, German PMI has been revised up to 49.1. Preliminary estimations had shown a 48.7 reading, unchanged from the previous month.
The focus now will be on the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMI) due later today. Investors, however, are likely to remain cautious ahead of a busy economic calendar this week, which includes the Eurozone Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday and the key US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, among other relevant releases.
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.00% | -0.10% | 0.08% | 0.20% | 0.15% | 0.11% | 0.24% | |
| EUR | 0.00% | -0.10% | 0.07% | 0.21% | 0.15% | 0.11% | 0.24% | |
| GBP | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.17% | 0.30% | 0.26% | 0.21% | 0.34% | |
| JPY | -0.08% | -0.07% | -0.17% | 0.14% | 0.09% | 0.05% | 0.18% | |
| CAD | -0.20% | -0.21% | -0.30% | -0.14% | -0.05% | -0.10% | 0.03% | |
| AUD | -0.15% | -0.15% | -0.26% | -0.09% | 0.05% | -0.04% | 0.09% | |
| NZD | -0.11% | -0.11% | -0.21% | -0.05% | 0.10% | 0.04% | 0.13% | |
| CHF | -0.24% | -0.24% | -0.34% | -0.18% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.13% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
Daily Digest market Movers: The Dollar remains supported by Warsh's nomination
- The market has reacted positively to the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chief. The market is forecasting at least two rate cuts in 2026, according to data from the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool, but Warsh has already served as a Fed Governor, and he was sensitive to inflation risks during his tenure.
- German Retail Sales have shown a 0.1% growth in December, following a 0.5% decline in November and beating the market consensus that had anticipated a 0.2% drop. Year-on-year, German retail consumption accelerated by 1.5%, from 1.3% in the previous month. The impact of the data on the Euro has been minor.
- In the US, January's ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected to show a moderate improvement to 48.3 from 47.9 in December, with prices paid accelerating to a four-month high of 60.5.
- Later on, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic will take the stage. Bostic has been reluctant to cut interest rates and recently affirmed that the balance sheet is "about right" last week, which brings to light the divergences within the central bank's committee.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD hovers above 1.1835 with bears in control
The EUR/USD is on a bearish correction, hovering at 1.1850 after pulling back from four-year highs near 1.2100. Technical indicators are pointing lower on the 4-hour chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the key 50 level, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows expanding negative bars.
The pair has found some footing above the January 26 low, at the 1.1835 area, and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the late-January rally, at 1.1830. Further down, the target is the 61.8% Fibonnaci retracement of the mentioned cycle, at the 1.1770 area.
Upside attempts are likely to be challenged at Friday's high, near 1.1955, ahead of the round 1.2000 level.
Economic Indicator
HCOB Manufacturing PMI
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB), is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the Eurozone manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies from the manufacturing sector. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Euro (EUR). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for EUR.
Read more.Last release: Mon Feb 02, 2026 09:00
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 49.5
Consensus: 49.4
Previous: 49.4
Source: S&P Global
Economic Indicator
HCOB Manufacturing PMI
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB), is a leading indicator gauging business activity in Germany’s manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. As Europe’s main manufacturing hub, German PMI data can also be a bellwether of the sector’s health in the broader continent. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Euro (EUR). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for EUR.
Read more.Last release: Mon Feb 02, 2026 08:55
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 49.1
Consensus: 48.7
Previous: 48.7
Source: S&P Global
Author
Guillermo Alcala
FXStreet
Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.
