|

EUR/USD retreat back below mid-1.2200s ahead of German ZEW

The greenback held on to its modest recovery gains through the early European session, pushing the EUR/USD pair to fresh session lows near the 1.2230-20 band.

The pair once again failed ahead of the 1.2300 handle and was now being weighed down by a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand. Despite a weaker tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields, the greenback gained some positive traction after the US Senators voted to keep the government funded through Feb. 8 and was eventually seen weighing on the major. 

Further downside, however, might continue to be limited on the back the latest German political development, wherein SPD ends a deadlock and votes for coalition talks with Merkel. 

Even from a technical perspective, the pair has been oscillating within a broader trading range as investors seemed to await for the next big fundamental trigger - ECB monetary policy decision, before committing to the next leg of directional move. 

In the meantime, the German ZEW economic sentiment might help traders to grab some short-term trading opportunities amid a relatively thin US economic docket

Technical levels to watch

From current levels, the 1.2000 handle, closely followed by the 1.2185 region, might continue to protect the immediate downside, which if broken might prompt some additional weakness towards the 1.2120-15 region. 

On the upside, momentum back above mid-1.2200s might continue to confront fresh supply near the 1.2275-80 region and any subsequent up-move seems more likely to remain capped near the 1.2295-1.2300 region.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tumbles below 1.1800 as Middle East turmoil drives US Dollar demand

The EUR/USD pair falls to near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by a renewed US Dollar demand. The Greenback gathers strength against the Euro as the conflict across the Middle East is heightening traders' anxiety, boosting the safe-haven currencies. 

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold seen through the roof as US, Israel and Iran war enters day 3

Gold is set for a huge bullish opening gap in Asian trading on Monday, with a flight to safety rush likely to sponsor the upsurge after the US and Israel struck Iran with heavy bombings over the weekend. More geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict and Oil price movement remain in focus. 

Iran escalation: Quick thoughts on markets

Markets are likely to open the week with risk-off, with declines led by airlines, cyclicals and trade-exposed names, while energy, defense and “strategic” sectors may be relatively steadier.

Oil at a critical breakpoint: Will geopolitics trigger the next major move?

The week ahead blends two powerful forces: moderating economic momentum and increasing geopolitical tension. While US and Eurozone data suggest steady but unspectacular growth, rising friction between the US and Iran is injecting a fresh risk premium into energy markets. Macro is softening but geopolitics may dominate price action.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.