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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Weakness seen as temporary

  • EUR/USD once again lost momentum in the upper-1.2100s.
  • Further downside should falter around 1.2000.

EUR/USD recedes from multi-day highs and slips back below the key 1.2100 support on Wednesday.

The pair now flirts with a Fibo level in the 1.2060/65 band. A breach of this area could lead to a probable visit to the psychological 1.2000 level, which is expected to hold the initial test in the near-term.

If bulls return to the markets, the recent tops around 1.2170 line up as an interim hurdle. This area is also reinforced by another Fibo retracement. Further up comes in the weekly highs near 1.2190 (January 22). The selling pressure should alleviate above the latter, opening the door to a probable visit to the YTD highs in the 1.2350 zone.

On the broader picture, the constructive stance in EUR/USD remains unchanged while above the critical 200-day SMA, today at 1.1738.

Looking at the monthly chart, the (solid) breakout of the 2008-2020 line is a big bullish event and should underpin the continuation of the current trend in the longer run.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2062
Today Daily Change50
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open1.2112
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2102
Daily SMA501.2157
Daily SMA1001.1997
Daily SMA2001.1747
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.217
Previous Daily Low1.2095
Previous Weekly High1.215
Previous Weekly Low1.202
Previous Monthly High1.235
Previous Monthly Low1.2054
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2123
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2141
Daily Pivot Point S11.2081
Daily Pivot Point S21.2051
Daily Pivot Point S31.2007
Daily Pivot Point R11.2156
Daily Pivot Point R21.22
Daily Pivot Point R31.223

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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