|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Fake triangle breakout drags Eurozone bulls to near 1.0200

  • A less-confident break of Descending Triangle has weakened the shared currency bulls.
  • The pair has surrendered the 20-EMA support at 1.0210.
  • Momentum oscillator RSI (14) has shifted back inside the woods.

The EUR/USD pair is hovering around Tuesday’s low at 1.0203 and is likely to display a steep fall on its violation. The asset is declining swiftly after facing barricades above 1.0240 and has shifted into bearish territory. In the early Tokyo session, the major has given a downside break of the 1.0209-1.0215 range.

On an hourly scale, the EUR/USD pair has displayed a steep fall after delivering a less-confident break of the Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downward sloping trendline of the aforementioned chart pattern is placed from the August 2 high at 1.0294 while the horizontal support is plotted from July 28 low at 1.0137.

The shared currency bulls have surrendered the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support of 1.0210. While, the 200-EMA has turned flat around 1.0200, which indicates a consolidation ahead.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted back to the 40.00-60.00 range and seeks a potential trigger ahead.

The greenback bulls could strengthen the downside bias if the asset drops below July 27 low at 1.0097, which will drag the asset towards July 14 high at 1.0050. A breach of the latter will unleash the greenback bulls for more downside towards July 14 low at 0.9952.

Alternatively, a decisive move above Thursday’s high at 1.0254 will drive the asset towards the August 2 high at 1.0294, followed by June 15 low at 1.0359.

EUR/USD hourly chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0208
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.0213
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0176
Daily SMA501.0353
Daily SMA1001.0546
Daily SMA2001.0915
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0248
Previous Daily Low1.0188
Previous Weekly High1.0294
Previous Weekly Low1.0123
Previous Monthly High1.0486
Previous Monthly Low0.9952
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0225
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0211
Daily Pivot Point S11.0185
Daily Pivot Point S21.0157
Daily Pivot Point S31.0126
Daily Pivot Point R11.0244
Daily Pivot Point R21.0275
Daily Pivot Point R31.0303

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD off three-month highs, holds near 1.1800 on softer US Dollar

EUR/USD consolidates gains below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A broadly subdued US Dollar continues to underpin the pair amid quiet markets and thin liquidity conditions on Christmas Eve. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 in the European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders turn to sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs amid profit-taking on Christmas Eve

Gold retreats following the move higher to the $4,525 area, or a fresh all-time peak, though the downside remains limited amid a bullish fundamental backdrop. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Shiba Inu's bears tighten grip, aiming for yearly lows

Shiba Inu price remains under pressure, trading below $0.000070 on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to dominate the broader crypto market. On-chain and derivatives data further support the bearish sentiment, while technical analysis suggests a deeper correction targeting the yearly lows.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM slips below $0.22 as bearish momentum builds

Stellar (XLM) price is trading below $0.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday after failing to close above the key resistance earlier this week. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen, with open interest falling and short bets rising.