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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Fades recovery below 0.9800 resistance confluence

  • EUR/USD consolidates the biggest daily gains in six months, retreats after crossing the 0.9600 previous key hurdle.
  • Convergence of 50-SMA, support-turned-resistance from late August probes buyers.
  • Firmer RSI, bullish MACD signals join clear upside break of 0.9600 to test sellers.
  • 21-SMA, weekly support line adds to the downside filters.

EUR/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low around 0.9700 while paring the previous day’s bounce off a 20-year low during Thursday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the major currency pair also trims the biggest daily jump since March while reversing the breakout of the 0.9600 hurdle comprising the 21-SMA and a one-week-old descending trend line.

It should, however, be noted that the bullish MACD signals and the firmer RSI (14) keep the buyers hopeful. That said, the 21-SMA, currently around 0.9640 offers immediate support ahead of the resistance-turned-support line near the 0.9600 threshold.

Even if the EUR/USD prices drop below the 0.9600 support, a downward sloping trend line from Monday, around 0.9530 by the press time, could challenge the pair’s further declines.

On the flip side, the latest swing high near 0.9750 holds the key to EUR/USD buyers’ welcome.

Following that, a convergence of the downward sloping trend line from August 23 and the 50-SMA, around 0.9800 at the latest, could challenge the pair bulls.

In a case where the quote rises past 0.9800, the odds of witnessing the run-up towards the parity can’t be ruled out.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9703
Today Daily Change-0.0032
Today Daily Change %-0.33%
Today daily open0.9735
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9908
Daily SMA501.0048
Daily SMA1001.0257
Daily SMA2001.067
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9751
Previous Daily Low0.9536
Previous Weekly High1.0051
Previous Weekly Low0.9668
Previous Monthly High1.0369
Previous Monthly Low0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9669
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9618
Daily Pivot Point S10.9596
Daily Pivot Point S20.9458
Daily Pivot Point S30.9381
Daily Pivot Point R10.9812
Daily Pivot Point R20.9889
Daily Pivot Point R31.0027

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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